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Part 1: Document Description
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Citation |
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Title: |
Winning the Game of Thrones: Leadership Succession in Modern Autocracies |
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Identification Number: |
doi:10.7910/DVN/YSCYIH |
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Distributor: |
Harvard Dataverse |
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Date of Distribution: |
2022-08-09 |
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Version: |
1 |
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Bibliographic Citation: |
Meng, Anne, 2022, "Winning the Game of Thrones: Leadership Succession in Modern Autocracies", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/YSCYIH, Harvard Dataverse, V1, UNF:6:qsT7jEHmB98IJaDrOpBnwg== [fileUNF] |
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Citation |
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Title: |
Winning the Game of Thrones: Leadership Succession in Modern Autocracies |
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Identification Number: |
doi:10.7910/DVN/YSCYIH |
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Authoring Entity: |
Meng, Anne (University of Virginia) |
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Distributor: |
Harvard Dataverse |
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Access Authority: |
Meng, Anne |
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Depositor: |
Meng, Anne |
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Date of Deposit: |
2020-12-17 |
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Holdings Information: |
https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/YSCYIH |
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Study Scope |
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Keywords: |
Social Sciences |
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Abstract: |
Under what conditions can dictatorships manage peaceful leadership transitions? This article argues that constitutional succession rules are critical for modern dictatorships, contrary to the predominant scholarly focus on hereditary succession or parties. An effective succession rule needs to solve dual problems of peaceful exit and peaceful entry. First, the rule must enable incumbents to exit power peacefully by reducing coup threats. Second, the rule must empower the designated successor to ensure that they can enter power peacefully. Constitutional rules help solve both problems, and are particularly effective when they appoint the vice president as the designated successor. The vice president’s access to material resources deters other factions from challenging the succession procedure, whereas designating successors without a power base is ineffective. Using original data on constitutional rules in African autocracies, I show that regimes that formally designate the vice president as the successor are more likely to undergo peaceful transitions. |
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Methodology and Processing |
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Sources Statement |
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Data Access |
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Notes: |
<a href="http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0">CC0 1.0</a> |
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Other Study Description Materials |
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Related Publications |
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Citation |
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Title: |
Meng, Anne. 2020. "Winning the Game of Thrones: Leadership Succession in Modern Autocracies." Journal of Conflict Resolution. |
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Bibliographic Citation: |
Meng, Anne. 2020. "Winning the Game of Thrones: Leadership Succession in Modern Autocracies." Journal of Conflict Resolution. |
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File Description--f4264968 |
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File: data.tab |
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Notes: |
UNF:6:TmCHSB41yJYeOoZw3sBRNg== |
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File Description--f4264965 |
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File: global_data.tab |
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Notes: |
UNF:6:HfNIytYoY/iRKArJpvHqlg== |
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File Description--f4264967 |
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File: graph_data.tab |
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Notes: |
UNF:6:68MLBtvOLkEKS+mWkiXoeA== |
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List of Variables: |
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Variables |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Valid 119.0; Max. 625.0; Mean 491.3697478991597; StDev 53.782024838217275; Min. 404.0; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:xy2ETamKH4KuY2AHE6ghgg== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Max. 2019.0; Mean 1990.1596638655462; Valid 119.0; Min. 1963.0; StDev 15.967649070392563 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:UJ+KcL7mLkvaIxip/3pKrw== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Variable Format: character Notes: UNF:6:heL7vel5axrRXJXaPgDCCA== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: StDev 74.01499884566198; Valid 119.0; Min. 1.0; Max. 242.0; Mean 121.01680672268904 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:zHiurXIpZKm3SMpoQQG20g== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Variable Format: character Notes: UNF:6:PgZgQ9kIewyvYcgbEHVJ2g== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Variable Format: character Notes: UNF:6:2uFPgpqNXCQLRfPopvl64A== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Max. 1.0; Mean 0.06722689075630253; Valid 119.0; StDev 0.2514733681008379; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:6845uy1DfwBxpJEb+IafQw== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Min. 1.0; Valid 1.0; Max. 1.0; Mean 1.0; StDev 0.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:EW6ETNZ1wXFfKZUGSZNOdg== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Mean 0.8907563025210085; Max. 1.0; Valid 119.0; StDev 0.31326373700415144; Min. 0.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:FHuX1kaNJ7GTHc4sxPW1MQ== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Max. 97.0; Mean 18.672268907563026; StDev 17.462846392569155; Min. 0.0; Valid 119.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:P8os8pBEIwNak8pKiiMfBA== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Mean 0.27731092436974797; StDev 0.44956419099923783; Valid 119.0; Min. 0.0; Max. 1.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:CIq1BBzaWyGcOoLZrrxP3Q== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Mean 0.2884615384615385; Min. 0.0; StDev 0.45746695847847596; Max. 1.0; Valid 52.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:JVRY+s+EMoINjiZFpOxc9w== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Max. 1.0; Mean 0.361344537815126; Valid 119.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 0.48242137212991343 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:IegYOu4uSUuiVFwmNEEAZw== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Mean 0.20168067226890757; Valid 119.0; StDev 0.40295165064665783; Min. 0.0; Max. 1.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:N3KBBYosNdlCHDeifUYimA== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: StDev 0.48623588860399414; Valid 52.0; Mean 0.6346153846153846; Min. 0.0; Max. 1.0; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:rhzdzdzY/qH0Kd+BA1eI5w== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Mean 0.53125; Min. 0.0; Max. 1.0; Valid 32.0; StDev 0.5070073486774164 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:ejwkythQAdSIFWzZ0B7AtQ== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Mean 0.4453781512605041; StDev 0.4991090195707671; Valid 119.0; Max. 1.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:5FVpgVAKkbBPl1AMoLdSRw== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Max. 50.0; Mean 7.252100840336133; StDev 11.063161107236045; Valid 119.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:KICa9CEKPNwSBUigoB/2mw== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Valid 119.0; Max. 1.0; Mean 0.30252100840336144; StDev 0.4612918824628212; Min. 0.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:ODWkwVBmB8ge5RhZu4QLdA== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; StDev 0.35140671992538347; Max. 1.0; Valid 119.0; Mean 0.1428571428571429 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:JqliPHVEli1hg7KVmmh/UQ== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Valid 119.0; StDev 10.578327431685892; Max. 50.0; Min. 0.0; Mean 5.218487394957982; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:OHwG7Q7ybA4NrOWifapatg== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: StDev 5.647757576766138; Mean 2.033613445378151; Min. 0.0; Max. 27.0; Valid 119.0; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:f00J1G4wrHoS8KamtBcQzA== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Max. 1.0; Mean 0.13445378151260506; Min. 0.0; StDev 0.3425816678062839; Valid 119.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:f84vtNmTqja+DNne6P7JEQ== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Max. 1.0; Min. 0.0; Valid 119.0; Mean 0.04201680672268906; StDev 0.20147582532332928 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:ajwny0MVjBxjx862mqC16A== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Mean 0.9327731092436975; Valid 119.0; StDev 0.2514733681008379; Max. 1.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:3JLU4zNuvI1ueLwD1KLPUw== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Valid 119.0; Mean 18.109243697478995; Max. 57.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 14.495346954159608 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:hzi3SKI0yLFbrKF4NWf5xg== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Valid 119.0; Max. 42.0; Mean 11.873949579831933; StDev 8.84284123165647; Min. 3.0; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:a7m5c5muSd5btzlfbvZnrQ== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Valid 119.0; Mean 0.319327731092437; StDev 0.4681875096843884; Max. 1.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:Ma3md12jGt82cZd3ApAvdw== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Min. 1944.0; Max. 2009.0; StDev 15.170300409940625; Valid 119.0; Mean 1978.2857142857142; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:bV38wY5zAMWVCzVE5i8teA== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Max. 2019.0; Min. 1963.0; Valid 119.0; Mean 1990.1596638655462; StDev 15.967649070392563; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:UJ+KcL7mLkvaIxip/3pKrw== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Mean 0.5042016806722689; Max. 1.0; StDev 0.5020964452534334; Valid 119.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:8QcaSa7uZfj7f6TDV7ZqUQ== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; StDev 0.4799052748008245; Valid 119.0; Max. 1.0; Mean 0.352941176470588 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:XFEIZ9WIMwRTQpCH8NudcQ== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; StDev 0.4981092294304652; Valid 119.0; Max. 1.0; Mean 0.4369747899159662; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:tHpqZgfQA06aAdWVCIsZRw== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Mean -1.6134453781512605; Min. -9.0; Max. 9.0; Valid 119.0; StDev 5.695834403684381; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:GvI63CwhiWJ+nF7ufvc8nw== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Valid 101.0; Min. 1.0; Max. 7.0; Mean 3.2871287128712874; StDev 1.9714798181232613 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:3emgUz+C3e6MNjtn9srgAA== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Variable Format: character Notes: UNF:6:bOBoSFHRHgeSutirbp0fvg== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Mean 663.9137931034483; Min. 199.0; Max. 754.0; Valid 116.0; StDev 87.94974542964539; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:NLwFOkg1dIdJ/7MM+1zfpQ== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Valid 116.0; Min. 35.0; Max. 1300.0; StDev 379.95988109848884; Mean 663.8620689655166 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:bBtUU3FT1uuyfOhbR1P+Bw== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Variable Format: character Notes: UNF:6:U2js4U+nEpG+9K6Ek/mA6A== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Mean 0.0; Max. 0.0; StDev 0.0; Valid 116.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:NO0L8JTLhJl6vdTgZMoxIw== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Mean 3.25; Valid 116.0; StDev 0.9313384477985573; Max. 4.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:ulklDoxhauLrmqYwH3XUNw== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Valid 113.0; Max. 13930.0; Mean 1755.2049852219307; Min. 332.0870056152344; StDev 2190.8259580624226 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:cH/CGXSBnLDKH3c8w7kcFg== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: StDev 0.40442401801376365; Min. 0.0; Mean 0.20353982300884954; Valid 113.0; Max. 1.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:LMr+gXkyLlIwU323kRQ43g== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Valid 113.0; StDev 2.1999767468099725E7; Max. 1.2E8; Mean 1.4881454867256634E7; Min. 205279.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:fS+X7CYIU6HPnzuvgKqW7w== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: StDev 201.0861213162548; Mean 62.82172674863736; Valid 113.0; Min. 0.0; Max. 1078.8399658203125 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:oq4SMJtT1oSp4TuuJJYA1A== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: StDev 203.03082027413913; Mean 70.22418585849876; Min. 0.0; Valid 113.0; Max. 1088.0799560546875; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:utxMh6Q4qh/4xAxFTLwZJg== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Max. 631.677978515625; Min. 0.0; Mean 52.357065511010276; StDev 134.5315259590012; Valid 113.0; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:wlR912LwvzHu7RvUPu6HYw== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Mean 122.58129168379294; StDev 237.79594959868467; Min. 0.0; Max. 1088.0799560546875; Valid 113.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:J9MgfjZ3DwOTxUw4549WpQ== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Valid 114.0; Mean 1.5482278688434965; StDev 2.0030836375420935; Min. 0.17979800701141357; Max. 10.493599891662598 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:YfhJO7ZTLIy5vnYwI3xNaw== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Max. 9.867899894714355; StDev 1.944330647634168; Mean 1.5458824582267225; Valid 114.0; Min. 0.2059279978275299 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:y++soZrv9soduk/rPO1Lfw== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Valid 114.0; Max. 7.654409885406494; Mean 0.3436572543312715; StDev 1.2261094436083395; Min. 0.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:NPh9Dm4w3u9CqnrzfA5dHA== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: StDev 1.0801949988798247; Min. 0.0; Mean 0.29913280914096463; Valid 114.0; Max. 7.970940113067627; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:bzsHeD2sfk9Wp0tdrsG4fg== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Valid 114.0; Min. 496.32598876953125; Mean 15351.796777557909; Max. 116009.0; StDev 22063.09260218812; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:FWASRtL7AxQVRYp6BmJfAA== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Max. 11.636099815368652; Mean 8.835937374516536; Valid 114.0; Min. 6.1966400146484375; StDev 1.245740836944255; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:2CkHQnuxq+CGw/iibrMZ0g== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Mean 0.6837469618440719; Valid 114.0; Min. 0.03551099821925163; StDev 0.23197851574901124; Max. 0.9250349998474121 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:zlQjmsC+RI6n4FNpHw3jtg== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Max. 13.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 3.26826750459207; Mean 5.135135135135133; Valid 111.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:1qA7mw4TbKSQ8Mb2IJPtew== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Max. 8.0; Valid 111.0; StDev 1.946247360403807; Mean 2.333333333333334; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:T2Ntn63tqeT5dPodMVosWQ== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Max. 12.0; Min. 0.0; Valid 111.0; Mean 2.2342342342342345; StDev 2.723483581254496; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:yYfu6XMKloZUv0AkaH+1Lg== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Valid 111.0; StDev 0.3028368936947123; Max. 0.9800000190734863; Mean 0.27797207091976933; Min. 0.0; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:VEgxn4mpNxlJ84T21fSSfQ== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: StDev 0.2146674171098611; Mean 0.08331982039653502; Min. 0.0; Valid 111.0; Max. 0.9800000190734863; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:EM245n45lCoIUebPi4S2mg== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Mean 0.1771981968955548; Max. 0.8500000238418579; Valid 111.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 0.26667821083551985; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:6euDYTxGjAJZF3El3cWf8Q== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Valid 111.0; Min. 0.0; Mean 0.1873423426940634; Max. 0.9800000190734863; StDev 0.23839064649606362; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:WRYUblU7ZkC58w309QlQRg== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Mean 0.07017543859649122; Min. 0.0; Max. 1.0; Valid 114.0; StDev 0.2565702389853346; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:QI0pxtVdXWSxRhB0SYShDQ== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Valid 114.0; StDev 0.4513259115140346; Mean 0.2807017543859649; Max. 1.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:vVVJa8wGoDI4yR2HnrCRwg== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Mean 0.17647058823529416; Valid 119.0; Max. 1.0; StDev 0.38283197233626054; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:1TIdIfY5rLa/pa6YpKO2xg== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: StDev 0.38983670102770845; Mean 0.18487394957983186; Valid 119.0; Max. 1.0; Min. 0.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:evwWtlbx2BD/2ZKvbKAsdw== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: StDev 0.49810922943046504; Valid 119.0; Mean 0.5630252100840336; Max. 1.0; Min. 0.0; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:J9iEQqX5i7cjEfyinz4lTg== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Min. 1.0; StDev 0.7077611136862719; Valid 119.0; Max. 3.0; Mean 1.6974789915966386; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:QGTbF1+/XkYf9MT8pM15RA== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Mean 0.6274509803921569; Min. 0.0; Max. 1.0; StDev 0.4882943503144591; Valid 51.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:ToHJNNTunYooSSLItSC8MA== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Valid 119.0; StDev 0.49810922943046504; Max. 1.0; Mean 0.4369747899159664 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:UTT+k6LuU8VL8BPcW6FpmQ== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Mean 0.32075471698113206; Min. 0.0; StDev 0.47123344311499643; Valid 53.0; Max. 1.0; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:nbD0wwgtmosE1YxFL3e8+A== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Mean 0.23529411764705876; StDev 0.4259760945178711; Max. 1.0; Valid 119.0; Min. 0.0; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:g8Vn9UsNZNwbpO/sQYsNlA== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Mean 0.09243697478991593; Max. 1.0; Valid 119.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 0.2908665206904486 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:J0NomKrxNTwZUxGIxu9okQ== |
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f4264968 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Mean 0.03361344537815126; Valid 119.0; StDev 0.18099410559012044; Max. 1.0; Min. 0.0; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:bzpLlkfaAaQa2T821wYm8A== |
|
f4264965 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Max. 950.0; Valid 867.0; StDev 251.96136841290112; Mean 456.0023068050731; Min. 40.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:/vvwyvD/fQD8l5CIjx9Mtg== |
|
f4264965 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Mean 0.5130759651307595; Valid 803.0; StDev 0.5001405068988671; Max. 1.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:4HaNOgc2cK6aCD8XHY8OGA== |
|
f4264965 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Max. 1.0; Mean 0.7175925925925927; Valid 432.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 0.45069241983862113 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:0u/ckmnb5aw49BhQMPBnAQ== |
|
f4264965 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Max. 1.0; Min. 0.0; Valid 867.0; StDev 0.2288200492920265; Mean 0.05536332179930799 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:yZFFiVTBoohr5O7ceBXqKw== |
|
f4264967 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Mean 1980.0; Min. 1946.0; Valid 69.0; StDev 20.062402647738878; Max. 2014.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:U0AFnnqORHQepsAZed3FRA== |
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f4264967 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Valid 69.0; Max. 12.0; StDev 2.6137383770177363; Mean 5.188405797101449; Min. 1.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:njVHYgAkWyjQKIGtN7vmGg== |
|
f4264967 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Valid 69.0; Max. 11.0; Min. 0.0; Mean 4.014492753623189; StDev 2.84652912293917 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:ETHVz56DKI9HScVVGrTyqQ== |
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Label: |
Replication.do |
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Notes: |
application/x-stata-syntax |