|
View: |
Part 1: Document Description
|
|
Citation |
|
|---|---|
|
Title: |
Replication Data for: Second-order Effects or Ideational Rifts? Explaining Outcomes of European Elections in an Era of Populist Politics |
|
Identification Number: |
doi:10.7910/DVN/TPRQFR |
|
Distributor: |
Harvard Dataverse |
|
Date of Distribution: |
2020-07-22 |
|
Version: |
1 |
|
Bibliographic Citation: |
Ehin, Piret; Talving, Liisa, 2020, "Replication Data for: Second-order Effects or Ideational Rifts? Explaining Outcomes of European Elections in an Era of Populist Politics", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/TPRQFR, Harvard Dataverse, V1, UNF:6:/TCVYg+ZGxnfBGqB2z3Hzw== [fileUNF] |
|
Citation |
|
|
Title: |
Replication Data for: Second-order Effects or Ideational Rifts? Explaining Outcomes of European Elections in an Era of Populist Politics |
|
Identification Number: |
doi:10.7910/DVN/TPRQFR |
|
Authoring Entity: |
Ehin, Piret (University of Tartu) |
|
Talving, Liisa (University of Tartu) |
|
|
Distributor: |
Harvard Dataverse |
|
Access Authority: |
Ehin, Piret |
|
Depositor: |
Talving, Liisa |
|
Date of Deposit: |
2020-07-22 |
|
Holdings Information: |
https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/TPRQFR |
|
Study Scope |
|
|
Keywords: |
Social Sciences, European Union, Populism, Right-wing extremism, Elections, Voting behavior |
|
Abstract: |
This article seeks to enhance our understanding of European Parliament (EP) elections in an era of populist and anti-EU politics. Specifically, it aims to evaluate both the conventional second-order elections theory as well as an alternative approach that regards EP elections as an arena for conflict between liberal-democratic Europeanism and populist, extremist and euroskeptic alternatives. It does so by deriving a series of hypotheses from both approaches and testing these with party-level data from all EU member states in the context of 2019 EP elections. Our results challenge both explanations. Party size is a robust predictor of electoral performance in EP elections, and its effect is moderated by electoral system design. While large parties lost votes across the EU, their losses were more pronounced in countries where national legislatures are elected under plurality or mixed systems. We find no evidence of incumbent losses or electoral cycle effects. Party-level populism, extremism and euroskepticism did not systematically predict electoral performance but party ideology appears to have moderated the effects of incumbency and party size. Incumbency was associated with vote gain among populist and far-right parties but not other parties, and the effect of size also varied across party ideologies. In sum, these results suggest that vote fragmentation in the 2019 EP elections is partly explained by electoral system design, while it was not driven by the desire to punish political incumbents. Populist and far-right parties in power appear to be particularly immune to punishing behavior often associated with EP elections. |
|
Methodology and Processing |
|
|
Sources Statement |
|
|
Data Access |
|
|
Notes: |
<a href="http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0">CC0 1.0</a> |
|
Other Study Description Materials |
|
|
File Description--f3988011 |
|
|
File: Replication data.tab |
|
|
|
|
Notes: |
UNF:6:/TCVYg+ZGxnfBGqB2z3Hzw== |
|
List of Variables: |
|
|
Variables |
|
|
f3988011 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Mean 140.3177083333335; Max. 276.0; Min. 1.0; Valid 192.0; StDev 83.1653125622031; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:wes8IOoO7yx0+HwpOYSCEA== |
|
f3988011 Location: |
Variable Format: character Notes: UNF:6:m7Go1GmMWf13EykXQlgxIQ== |
|
f3988011 Location: |
Variable Format: character Notes: UNF:6:OkPQAqaH/1nccqWB19zg9Q== |
|
f3988011 Location: |
Summary Statistics: StDev 9.632141510965257; Mean 12.308333333333334; Valid 192.0; Min. 1.0; Max. 54.3 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:X/2jTOnpkWxH6N70Q+tGfw== |
|
f3988011 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Max. 55.0; Valid 192.0; StDev 10.622166340131242; Min. 2.0; Mean 13.123958333333334 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:cRY0A5uWZf4UQW0+sZah4w== |
|
f3988011 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Min. -33.4; StDev 6.504150574409379; Max. 19.5; Mean -0.8145833333333334; Valid 192.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:TLtUDzZuRySSnuN08YiFvA== |
|
f3988011 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Max. 1.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 0.47075813311645287; Valid 192.0; Mean 0.328125 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:b3WVc2GS8o8L3RYU4b0L3A== |
|
f3988011 Location: |
Summary Statistics: StDev 0.41087820431164257; Valid 192.0; Min. 0.0; Mean 0.2135416666666666; Max. 1.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:VKw6xriuQ2bSoyW6DstjGw== |
|
f3988011 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Valid 192.0; StDev 0.3255666961583601; Max. 1.0; Mean 0.1197916666666667; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:lMVRQ8Amz2ImSrrgZqxXOg== |
|
f3988011 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Valid 192.0; Mean 0.1145833333333334; StDev 0.3193511637587477; Min. 0.0; Max. 1.0; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:kNIYiLD/R+Fb7C9Sd3cMuQ== |
|
f3988011 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Mean 0.27083333333333337; Valid 192.0; StDev 0.4455519940552744; Min. 0.0; Max. 1.0 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:qWPunycDo57JZ6hDG7n05g== |
|
f3988011 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Max. 1.0; StDev 0.46257752522273166; Valid 192.0; Mean 0.30729166666666674; Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:4a4j3FVAzIeHiBkWoXUszg== |
|
f3988011 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Max. 100.1; Valid 192.0; Min. 1.9; StDev 30.55165813388556; Mean 48.507255993150686 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:Ryd4LHA4BMV5O1kYb7v4bg== |
|
f3988011 Location: |
Summary Statistics: Valid 192.0; Mean 0.8229166666666667; Min. 0.0; Max. 1.0; StDev 0.3827372252539761 Variable Format: numeric Notes: UNF:6:VWzhA8U7gWPgNpme277WmA== |
|
Label: |
Replication do file.do |
|
Notes: |
application/x-stata-syntax |