Replication Data for: Tariffs as Electoral Weapons: The Political Geography of the US-China Trade War (doi:10.7910/DVN/1GGBBK)

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Part 1: Document Description
Part 2: Study Description
Part 3: Data Files Description
Part 4: Variable Description
Part 5: Other Study-Related Materials
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Document Description

Citation

Title:

Replication Data for: Tariffs as Electoral Weapons: The Political Geography of the US-China Trade War

Identification Number:

doi:10.7910/DVN/1GGBBK

Distributor:

Harvard Dataverse

Date of Distribution:

2020-10-19

Version:

Bibliographic Citation:

Kim, Sung Eun; Margalit, Yotam, 2020, "Replication Data for: Tariffs as Electoral Weapons: The Political Geography of the US-China Trade War", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/1GGBBK, Harvard Dataverse, V1, UNF:6:ptIntZKQoi1xPeVw+Z95gQ== [fileUNF]

Study Description

Citation

Title:

Replication Data for: Tariffs as Electoral Weapons: The Political Geography of the US-China Trade War

Identification Number:

doi:10.7910/DVN/1GGBBK

Authoring Entity:

Kim, Sung Eun (Korea University)

Margalit, Yotam (Tel Aviv University)

Distributor:

Harvard Dataverse

Access Authority:

Margalit, Yotam

Depositor:

Matthews, Elana

Date of Deposit:

2020-10-16

Holdings Information:

https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/1GGBBK

Study Scope

Keywords:

Social Sciences

Abstract:

In response to President Trump’s escalation of trade relations, China countered by issuing tariffs on over 6,000 products worth over $110 billion in U.S. exports. We explore whether China’s tariffs reflected a strategy to apply counter-pressure by hurting political support for Republicans, assess the strategy’s impact on the 2018 mid-term elections, and examine the mechanism underlying the resulting electoral shift. We find strong evidence that Chinese tariffs systematically targeted U.S. goods whose production is concentrated in Republican-supporting counties, particularly when located in closely contested Congressional districts. This apparent strategy was successful: targeted areas were more likely to turn against Republican candidates. Using data on campaign communications, local search patterns online and an original national survey, we find evidence that voters residing in areas vulnerable to the tariffs were more likely to learn about the trade war, recognize its adverse impact, and assign the Republicans responsibility for the escalating situation.

Methodology and Processing

Sources Statement

Data Access

Notes:

Other Study Description Materials

File Description--f4143139

File: tradewar_io_campaign.tab

Number of cases: 840
No. of variables per record: 16
Type of File: text/tab-separated-values

Notes:

UNF:6:RD5vcSxg6vekksk+AeiiXw==

File Description--f4143145

File: tradewar_io_county.tab

Number of cases: 3143
No. of variables per record: 72
Type of File: text/tab-separated-values

Notes:

UNF:6:EQcG2Cr1X3OSBu6d0F9HlA==

File Description--f4143136

File: tradewar_io_county_cd.tab

Number of cases: 3767
No. of variables per record: 12
Type of File: text/tab-separated-values

Notes:

UNF:6:6wGthErp1yz8SfOz02D7vg==

File Description--f4143132

File: tradewar_io_czone.tab

Number of cases: 710
No. of variables per record: 27
Type of File: text/tab-separated-values

Notes:

UNF:6:HggD526qGroka0mz0DEuag==

File Description--f4143148

File: tradewar_io_product.tab

Number of cases: 5902
No. of variables per record: 22
Type of File: text/tab-separated-values

Notes:

UNF:6:Px5eu22+W9oTP+HAi4Pq/g==

File Description--f4143138

File: tradewar_io_survey.tab

Number of cases: 1518
No. of variables per record: 20
Type of File: text/tab-separated-values

Notes:

UNF:6:aE1CedBw7YTGeCVU8dHcrw==

File Description--f4143141

File: tradewar_io_swing.tab

Number of cases: 436
No. of variables per record: 3
Type of File: text/tab-separated-values

Notes:

UNF:6:U691h23FlI7p9cH/RVVeyA==

File Description--f4143143

File: tradewar_io_websearch.tab

Number of cases: 262
No. of variables per record: 7
Type of File: text/tab-separated-values

Notes:

UNF:6:zJEN5TPvGNrrcGoci+WOHQ==

Variable Description

List of Variables:

state_fips - State FIPS Code
cd - Congressional District
candidate - Candidate Name
party - Candidate Party
democrat - Democratic Candidate
trade_prop - Campaign Communications on the Trade War, \%
china_prop - Campaign Communications on China and Trade, \%
tariff_prop - Campaign Communications on China and Tariff, \%
emp_chn_target_april - Targeted by Tariffs (April Only)
emp_chn_target_june - Targeted by Tariffs (June Only)
emp_chn_target_aug - Targeted by Tariffs (August Only)
emp_chn_target_sept - Targeted by Tariffs (September Only)
dem_emp_chn_target_april - Democratic * Targeted by Tariffs (April)
dem_emp_chn_target_june - Democratic * Targeted by Tariffs (June)
dem_emp_chn_target_aug - Democratic * Targeted by Tariffs (August)
dem_emp_chn_target_sept - Democratic * Targeted by Tariffs (September)
fipscode - fipscode
state_fips - State FIPS Code
avg_wkly_wage_pct_chg1718 - $\Delta$ Weekly Wage, 18-17
voting_age_pop - Voting Age Pop.
county_totalvotes_house2016 - Total Votes in the House Election
emp_chn_target_april - \%, Targeted by Tariffs (April)
emp_chn_target_june - \%, Targeted by Tariffs (June)
emp_chn_target_aug - \%, Targeted by Tariffs (August)
emp_chn_target_sept - \%, Targeted by Tariffs (September)
emp_eu_target - \%, Targeted by EU Tariffs
emp_mex_target - \%, Targeted by Mexico Tariffs
emp_eumexcan_target - \%, Targeted by Tariffs
emp_can_target - \%, Targeted by Canada Tariffs
emp_chn_target_cum_sept - \%, Targeted by Tariffs (by September)
emp_chn_target_cum_june - \%, Targeted by Tariffs (by June)
emp_chn_target_cum_aug - \%, Targeted by Tariffs (by August)
emp_us_protect_cum_june - \%, Protected by US Tariffs (by June)
emp_us_protect_cum_aug - \%, Protected by US Tariffs (by August)
emp_us_protect_cum_sept - \%, Protected by US Tariffs (by September)
emp_chn_agri_april - \%, Targeted by Tariffs on Agriculture (by April)
emp_chn_agri_sept - \%, Targeted by Tariffs on Agriculture (by September)
emp_chn_agri_june - \%, Targeted by Tariffs on Agriculture (by June)
emp_chn_agri_aug - \%, Targeted by Tariffs on Agriculture (by August)
emp_chn_nonag_april - \%, Targeted by Tariffs on Non-agriculture (by April)
emp_chn_nonag_sept - \%, Targeted by Tariffs on Non-agriculture (by September)
emp_all_target_june - \%, Targeted by All Tariffs (by June)
emp_all_target_aug - \%, Targeted by All Tariffs (by August)
emp_all_target_sept - \%, Targeted by All Tariffs (by September)
emp_chn_nonag_june - \%, Targeted by Tariffs on Non-agriculture (by June)
emp_chn_nonag_aug - \%, Targeted by Tariffs on Non-agriculture (by August)
age_group1_2016_share - \%, Age Group 1
age_group2_2016_share - \%, Age Group 2
age_group3_2016_share - \%, Age Group 3
age_group4_2016_share - \%, Age Group 4
age_group5_2016_share - \%, Age Group 5
age_group6_2016_share - \%, Age Group 6
age_group7_2016_share - \%, Age Group 7
age_group8_2016_share - \%, Age Group 8
age_group9_2016_share - \%, Age Group 9
age_group10_2016_share - \%, Age Group 10
age_group11_2016_share - \%, Age Group 11
age_group12_2016_share - \%, Age Group 12
age_group13_2016_share - \%, Age Group 13
age_group14_2016_share - \%, Age Group 14
age_group15_2016_share - \%, Age Group 15
age_group16_2016_share - \%, Age Group 16
age_group17_2016_share - \%, Age Group 17
female_share2016 - \%, Female
white_share2016 - \%, White
black_share2016 - \%, Black
asian_share2016 - \%, Asian
native_share2016 - \%, Native
hispanic_share2016 - \%, Hispanic
county_repshare_house1416 - GOP Vote Share (\%)
swing_dist_10_1416 - Swing District, 10\% Overlap
repcounty_swing_10_1416 - GOP Vote Share (\%) * Swing District
swing_dist_20_1416 - Swing District, 20\% Overlap
repcounty_swing_20_1416 - GOP Vote Share (\%) * Swing District
cook_v_dist_20 - Competitive District (Cook Rating), 20\% Overlap
repcounty_v_cook_dist_20 - GOP Vote Share (\%) * Competitive District (Cook)
swing_dist_30_1416 - Swing District, 30\% Overlap
repcounty_swing_30_1416 - GOP Vote Share (\%) * Swing District
cook_v_dist_30 - Competitive District (Cook Rating), 30\% Overlap
repcounty_v_cook_dist_30 - GOP Vote Share (\%) * Competitive District (Cook)
delta_totalvotes18 - Percentage Change in Total Votes, 18-16
delta_totalvotes16 - Percentage Change in Total Votes, 16-14
delta_repshare1618 - $\Delta$ GOP Vote (\%), 18-16
delta_repshare1416 - $\Delta$ GOP Vote (\%), 16-14
delta_repshare1618_cts - $\Delta$ GOP Vote (\%), 18-16 (Contested Elections)
delta_repshare1416_cts - $\Delta$ GOP Vote (\%), 16-14 (Contested Elections)
log_exp_nominal - Log(Export)
log_exp_agri - Log(Agricultural Exports)
state - state
state_fips - state_fips
fipscode - fipscode
cd - cd
cocd_gopvotes_2018 - cocd_repvotes_2018
cocd_demvotes_2018 - cocd_demvotes_2018
cocd_gopshare_2016
delta_gopshare1618
district_dem_vote2018 - district_dem_vote2018
district_gop_vote2018 - district_gop_vote2018
emp_chn_target_cum_sept
emp_us_protect_cum_sept
state_fips
czone - Commuting Zone ID, 2000
voting_age_pop - Voting Age Pop.
emp_chn_target_april - \%, Targeted by Tariffs (April)
emp_chn_target_cum_sept - \%, Targeted by Tariffs (by September)
emp_chn_target_cum_june - \%, Targeted by Tariffs (by June)
emp_chn_target_cum_aug - \%, Targeted by Tariffs (by August)
emp_us_protect_cum_june - \%, Protected by US Tariffs (by June)
emp_us_protect_cum_aug - \%, Protected by US Tariffs (by August)
emp_us_protect_cum_sept - \%, Protected by US Tariffs (by September)
delta_repshare1618 - $\Delta$ Republican Vote (\%), 18-16
delta_repshare1416 - $\Delta$ Republican Vote (\%), 16-14
female_share2016 - \%, Female
white_share2016 - \%, White
black_share2016 - \%, Black
asian_share2016 - \%, Asian
native_share2016 - \%, Native
hispanic_share2016 - \%, Hispanic
avg_wkly_wage_pct_chg1718 - $\Delta$ Weekly Wage, 18-17
age_group_share_1_9 - \%, Age Group 1
age_group_share_2_9 - \%, Age Group 2
age_group_share_3_9 - \%, Age Group 3
age_group_share_4_9 - \%, Age Group 4
age_group_share_5_9 - \%, Age Group 5
age_group_share_6_9 - \%, Age Group 6
age_group_share_7_9 - \%, Age Group 7
age_group_share_8_9 - \%, Age Group 8
hs_code - HS Code (6-Digit)
china_tgt_april - Targeted by China (April)
china_tgt_june - Targeted by China (June)
china_tgt_aug - Targeted by China (August)
china_tgt_sept - Targeted by China (September)
china_tgt - Targeted by China (April-August)
canada_tgt - Targeted by Canada
mexico_tgt - Targeted by Mexico
eu_tgt - Targeted by the EU
gop_concentration - Republican Concentration
us_export_can - Canada Imports Volume from the US
us_export_chn - China Imports Volume from the US
us_export_eu - EU Imports Volume from the US
us_export_mex - Mexico Imports Volume from the US
log_us_export_can - Log(Canada Imports Volume from the US)
log_us_export_chn - Log(China Imports Volume from the US)
log_us_export_eu - Log(EU Imports Volume from the US)
log_us_export_mex - Log(Mexico Imports Volume from the US)
can_import_share_us - Canada Imports Dependence on the US
chn_import_share_us - China Imports Dependence on the US
eu_import_share_us - EU Imports Dependence on the US
mex_import_share_us - Mexico Imports Dependence on the US
state - State
Dchinaonus - Tariffs Negative on the US
Dchinaonarea - Tariffs Negative on Area
Dchinaonfamily - Tariffs Negative on Family
trumprole - Trump Responsible for Tariff Escalation
goprole - GOP Responsible for Tariff Escalation
demrole - Dems Responsible for Tariff Escalation
cty_chn_target - County Workers Targeted
cty_us_protect - County Protected by US Tariffs
industry_chn_target - Industry Workers Targeted
pid3 - Party ID (3-Level)
democrat - Democrat
independent - Independent
age - Age
female - Female
race - Race
education - Education
usnative - US Native
emp_status - Employment status
naicsmissing - No NAICS Information
state_fips - state_fips
cd - cd
swing_dist1416
cbsacode - FIPS
state_fips
search_ch_tariffs - Web Searches on China (Chinese) Tariffs
search_tradewar - Web Searches on Trade War
emp_chn_target_metro - \% Targeted by Chinese tariffs
edu_college - \% Bachelor's degree
edu_graduate - \% Graduate or professional degree

Variables

State FIPS Code

f4143139 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:amqGTv26HWfkh+Emcght7g==

Congressional District

f4143139 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:3vCe94p4QgbX88SttTbolA==

Candidate Name

f4143139 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:gzbUC3/nvCY0K66h0bJ5aA==

Candidate Party

f4143139 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:R00RJSuQYmKiv7+u9yovVA==

Democratic Candidate

f4143139 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 840.0; Max. 1.0; Min. 0.0; Mean 0.525; StDev 0.4996721213394456;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:qKBGeljEMQxR4d0e128Byw==

Campaign Communications on the Trade War, \%

f4143139 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 0.6791031767135806; Valid 840.0; Min. 0.0; Mean 0.2047627136199957; Max. 9.596928596496582;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:wKQGoCQETWiA/MQdBC5smQ==

Campaign Communications on China and Trade, \%

f4143139 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.08797902561990277; Max. 4.751619815826416; StDev 0.3589498665256024; Valid 840.0; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:qZMw3/Qqnw7VZo/15eryKw==

Campaign Communications on China and Tariff, \%

f4143139 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Mean 0.07124060831875323; StDev 0.2756082200539754; Valid 840.0; Max. 4.1666669845581055;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:cj32+kKKk+Zq86gS5HCRIA==

Targeted by Tariffs (April Only)

f4143139 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0036544196773320436; Mean 0.6257433676975773; Valid 840.0; StDev 1.4739349614493449; Max. 18.174806594848633;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:3r4QWArmMEEQjHVEBVbccA==

Targeted by Tariffs (June Only)

f4143139 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 21.43952751159668; Min. 0.008674816228449345; StDev 2.0127274223718445; Valid 840.0; Mean 1.3217430793791127;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:SPGcuqzB6OAqv6sjF9W92g==

Targeted by Tariffs (August Only)

f4143139 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 1.3361776824751483; Mean 1.539598593115807; Min. 0.05118073895573616; Valid 840.0; Max. 12.722078323364258;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:u2LSWSwlf55Mgfl4MJc8Hg==

Targeted by Tariffs (September Only)

f4143139 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.6848713159561157; Valid 840.0; Max. 27.079729080200195; Mean 9.081566976081758; StDev 4.856917875425274

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:NC7dAn7U0LSbyintKsOZLg==

Democratic * Targeted by Tariffs (April)

f4143139 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.3293681449425916; Valid 840.0; StDev 1.1437248013821997; Min. 0.0; Max. 18.174806594848633

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:yDsn3gABkqi9L3JzwWZ3DQ==

Democratic * Targeted by Tariffs (June)

f4143139 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.6828783184057099; Min. 0.0; Max. 21.43952751159668; StDev 1.5954341862887789; Valid 840.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:5FypqSKHzcvp9H3GF7oZDw==

Democratic * Targeted by Tariffs (August)

f4143139 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 840.0; Max. 12.722078323364258; StDev 1.22310049012259; Mean 0.7962350776552081; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:MZZZsYLQQiQPiJSPfGRXxw==

Democratic * Targeted by Tariffs (September)

f4143139 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 840.0; Max. 27.079729080200195; Mean 4.694697345935159; Min. 0.0; StDev 5.682253900318733

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:FKCPhWBOui0JESRc2IHLpg==

fipscode

f4143145 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:EZba1bu7Rty17qOcicICOg==

State FIPS Code

f4143145 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:lEWmD3/u5439HZMd9vK0dQ==

$\Delta$ Weekly Wage, 18-17

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 3140.0; Min. -49.79999923706055; Max. 103.0999984741211; Mean 3.2417515896545512; StDev 4.3909408829263255;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:tUid3Y3KSrKwwam20716Kw==

Voting Age Pop.

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 3141.0; Mean 102195.54600445705; Max. 1.010572E7; StDev 328340.1214020865; Min. 75.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:Q3fCd7LgnJlnt2jJ4bOt3Q==

Total Votes in the House Election

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 41164.78752812624; Valid 3111.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 117252.24326977704; Max. 3129539.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:6XTJLulO2eA3edzlnZZPbA==

\%, Targeted by Tariffs (April)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 1.1345070278845644; Max. 59.182315826416016; Min. 0.0; Valid 3143.0; StDev 4.135908066813696

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:Q6ZlF+GLxi5NofQSrUCu/g==

\%, Targeted by Tariffs (June)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Max. 91.40757751464844; Mean 3.1014905314171815; Valid 3143.0; StDev 6.72214292144558;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:2r9BwKsvCc9rr4xsJQfXNA==

\%, Targeted by Tariffs (August)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 2.5874417588623078; StDev 4.733371290991774; Valid 3143.0; Max. 64.61351776123047; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:dIwEtgk/dzucRaGW8AReIg==

\%, Targeted by Tariffs (September)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 3143.0; Mean 15.015742085504245; StDev 11.656976907890305; Max. 91.40757751464844; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:jKrXMHAdmF7kO/5/MXCGiA==

\%, Targeted by EU Tariffs

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 1.718762491526566; Valid 3143.0; StDev 3.328357463851663; Max. 48.36795425415039; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:5hlDy4ArozuuidQpl00FJw==

\%, Targeted by Mexico Tariffs

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 59.182315826416016; Valid 3143.0; Mean 2.38925531553824; StDev 5.56971823455384; Min. 0.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:llt894Nt8vaPhMvxs19vUw==

\%, Targeted by Tariffs

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 3143.0; Min. 0.0; Mean 5.429488695882361; StDev 7.574290480377972; Max. 91.28115844726562

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:jZ8pIQQghIKXYTDIXXSlWw==

\%, Targeted by Canada Tariffs

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 91.28115844726562; Mean 4.6198464372493575; StDev 7.220717425782092; Valid 3143.0; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:NM/6gLUnTZmjCdN8j9Jk7g==

\%, Targeted by Tariffs (by September)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Mean 16.656588246943365; StDev 12.066293755768156; Max. 91.40757751464844; Valid 3143.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:sdz1QQU5BmCGuDvKgBu1Zw==

\%, Targeted by Tariffs (by June)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 3143.0; Mean 3.2691488753074824; StDev 6.79706431429507; Min. 0.0; Max. 91.40757751464844

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:PfY/MKVPBSoUqIP+A2lECg==

\%, Targeted by Tariffs (by August)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; StDev 7.79476531605445; Valid 3143.0; Max. 91.40757751464844; Mean 5.63328301865843;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:PS+7eBuoEUANoWWC8sym1A==

\%, Protected by US Tariffs (by June)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 3143.0; Max. 69.5261459350586; Mean 3.61945586259569; Min. 0.0; StDev 5.567326605126514

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:xciICNOI3cB1tSDarDZ8eA==

\%, Protected by US Tariffs (by August)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 4.930089466671281; StDev 6.438903410465676; Min. 0.0; Max. 69.5261459350586; Valid 3143.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:SUZsOT7fdTRtme74BfyhmA==

\%, Protected by US Tariffs (by September)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 12.028921659378014; Max. 91.40757751464844; Min. 0.0; Mean 16.622325140415132; Valid 3143.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:6kB0KNLBuFQNPiiT0/SRtg==

\%, Targeted by Tariffs on Agriculture (by April)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.30420189228032063; Valid 3143.0; StDev 1.7426654025350452; Min. 0.0; Max. 52.19541549682617;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:NGPwkY6JvR6Mo6RNyWiUgw==

\%, Targeted by Tariffs on Agriculture (by September)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 88.28498840332031; StDev 5.193966273322652; Mean 2.4437097550326796; Valid 3143.0; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:7KESu6IRimjFxFUT6/EdJg==

\%, Targeted by Tariffs on Agriculture (by June)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 53.323036193847656; Valid 3143.0; Mean 1.0294152843174635; Min. 0.0; StDev 3.0556085420406016

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:b3UbvaYZNieK0Qo2nhEgdw==

\%, Targeted by Tariffs on Agriculture (by August)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 1.0294152843174635; Min. 0.0; StDev 3.0556085420406016; Max. 53.323036193847656; Valid 3143.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:b3UbvaYZNieK0Qo2nhEgdw==

\%, Targeted by Tariffs on Non-agriculture (by April)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; StDev 3.665113063263912; Max. 59.182315826416016; Valid 3142.0; Mean 0.8305693930436184

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:2I8kJ9qNIvg7GETOtchu4w==

\%, Targeted by Tariffs on Non-agriculture (by September)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 3142.0; Mean 14.217402029474298; Max. 91.28115844726562; StDev 11.665714619630444; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:Z2dq5PiGRwChxDj45053dA==

\%, Targeted by All Tariffs (by June)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 91.40757751464844; Mean 4.529984943230886; Min. 0.0; StDev 7.198641497091468; Valid 3143.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:pLwgKDqlpYjaz6/iCFUctQ==

\%, Targeted by All Tariffs (by August)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; StDev 9.042546681000447; Max. 91.40757751464844; Mean 8.924055141832707; Valid 3143.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:Y1w3tJlZOMh9Qxnk6ktFuQ==

\%, Targeted by All Tariffs (by September)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 12.066293755768156; Min. 0.0; Valid 3143.0; Mean 16.656588246943365; Max. 91.40757751464844;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:sdz1QQU5BmCGuDvKgBu1Zw==

\%, Targeted by Tariffs on Non-agriculture (by June)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 2.240446427068063; Min. 0.0; StDev 6.005608899825889; Valid 3142.0; Max. 91.28115844726562;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:YhpM/+nbreAxJZfG8GCVEw==

\%, Targeted by Tariffs on Non-agriculture (by August)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 91.28115844726562; Mean 4.605332989603418; StDev 7.2189073934316506; Valid 3142.0; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:eDLGA/iAXhF7hL6W35johg==

\%, Age Group 1

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 12.951777458190918; Min. 0.0; Mean 5.887468422267591; Valid 3141.0; StDev 1.144454320826013;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:I3T8YKAo8Y7MD6wkHJesyw==

\%, Age Group 2

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Mean 6.201558788845167; StDev 1.0639813030876966; Valid 3141.0; Max. 14.782608985900879

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:nPb+PDWIe6J/Z6XpLHq+LQ==

\%, Age Group 3

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Mean 6.3368696550471295; StDev 0.9948349455851704; Valid 3141.0; Max. 11.22449016571045

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:yP8cPYXef3E/Ed8Gg9B6Vw==

\%, Age Group 4

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 19.98024559020996; Min. 0.0; Valid 3141.0; StDev 1.1477077142793077; Mean 6.417300402453963

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:s2CEj9IqQWShoJeDZC90zg==

\%, Age Group 5

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 26.993085861206055; Min. 0.0; StDev 2.3632435618870655; Mean 6.332625468553005; Valid 3141.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:DfNy3Q6Q1S8A7DTZcqwvsg==

\%, Age Group 6

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 3141.0; Min. 2.2727272510528564; Mean 5.9801915652886235; Max. 15.039604187011719; StDev 1.2957198693030314

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:yPF3BEw3mvMKQ/qeWPQIiQ==

\%, Age Group 7

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 3141.0; Mean 5.857122220950536; Max. 12.451681137084961; StDev 0.9796962224809643; Min. 2.6330690383911133;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:cp/QrjjJ7oZP8xTZfMxYWQ==

\%, Age Group 8

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 2.6086957454681396; StDev 0.7918544787219749; Max. 10.593306541442871; Mean 5.827406665695129; Valid 3141.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:ev/BTCYATAqDoiXDhRS48Q==

\%, Age Group 9

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 5.62340824629083; Valid 3141.0; Max. 11.672683715820312; StDev 0.7568077229655575; Min. 2.0718231201171875

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:3H5YxAAGZ2/LsfoMFIZ1Zg==

\%, Age Group 10

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 11.823104858398438; StDev 0.7947376696170456; Mean 6.11725484584783; Min. 2.3569023609161377; Valid 3141.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:wY9rmUrt8krP59YiNS70Ew==

\%, Age Group 11

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 2.6039605140686035; Valid 3141.0; StDev 0.7844723964597865; Max. 14.772727012634277; Mean 6.8482935260868665;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:NeZhQOUZr1VotYFdKR3smA==

\%, Age Group 12

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 2.0396039485931396; StDev 0.9692410404290895; Valid 3141.0; Max. 12.132564544677734; Mean 7.3324654240473075

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:adBVleX5QwXaH5V3sD1wLQ==

\%, Age Group 13

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 1.2361948743982296; Min. 1.8712871074676514; Valid 3141.0; Mean 6.854409092818425; Max. 18.18181800842285;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:cPVHWGKMVKzwo3Wq3/Dxzg==

\%, Age Group 14

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 3141.0; Min. 1.3564356565475464; Mean 6.096946515121568; StDev 1.408993106166891; Max. 17.793827056884766;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:RQz5le9Cy41eLCAVuFQZqA==

\%, Age Group 15

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 1.1848941283525585; Max. 16.61057472229004; Min. 1.207920789718628; Mean 4.427125994470689; Valid 3141.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:wjY2fXJGZsYYLX5bKIsadQ==

\%, Age Group 16

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.5220114588737488; Valid 3141.0; Mean 3.251912187463499; Max. 11.441930770874023; StDev 0.9230379309141395;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:x3TDzf7JshlHbdg5Vt+oGw==

\%, Age Group 17

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 0.6920633532036249; Max. 6.069364070892334; Valid 3141.0; Mean 2.2653647434347097; Min. 0.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:nGNiR6VZ4McZfanbbW5Jaw==

\%, Female

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 3141.0; Max. 56.69939041137695; Mean 49.89914816134069; Min. 29.534284591674805; StDev 2.2588401773305864;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:ABL57u23sE1E+dOS8FhLsA==

\%, White

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 16.334296894248354; Min. 5.148693561553955; Max. 99.25037384033203; Valid 3141.0; Mean 84.8189448452573

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:2ETVC3tOWEjcgxRCL27eNQ==

\%, Black

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 9.267527888083361; Valid 3141.0; Min. 0.0; Max. 86.02256774902344; StDev 14.500465745582396

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:RwzfTYBkaaUPQLLWFkt3qg==

\%, Asian

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 1.4851861350565698; Valid 3141.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 2.8639377725344715; Max. 42.90166473388672;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:I1qzEnwVyC0qrHSsLGhmrA==

\%, Native

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 3141.0; Max. 92.73902130126953; Min. 0.0; Mean 2.419351267429414; StDev 7.649803272098362

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:lOcQW17KYJOZvQ09qgXZfw==

\%, Hispanic

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 3141.0; StDev 13.695350930878448; Min. 0.5002273917198181; Mean 9.321843358901875; Max. 96.26785278320312;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:MUNCyOL1/8ous2wTDBYo1A==

GOP Vote Share (\%)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Mean 67.51095028946034; Valid 3106.0; StDev 19.711673980352632; Max. 100.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:/N6eRvPFZxwssQelL0MrSA==

Swing District, 10\% Overlap

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.15653833916640084; Min. 0.0; StDev 0.36342277012328994; Valid 3143.0; Max. 1.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:FoJGIcROrnz2OuyD5J1txQ==

GOP Vote Share (\%) * Swing District

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 3106.0; StDev 20.415805919199414; Max. 91.90228271484375; Mean 8.278999144080679; Min. 0.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:NOPNEnpISacl1ahxNiNxuQ==

Swing District, 20\% Overlap

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.15240216353801947; Min. 0.0; StDev 0.3594674626062802; Max. 1.0; Valid 3143.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:cvwEXJfZ184RKyZrskv3gQ==

GOP Vote Share (\%) * Swing District

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 8.075700959772407; Max. 91.90228271484375; Valid 3106.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 20.231987867498535

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:hC5SGgDV3OQwZdfiIPlYQw==

Competitive District (Cook Rating), 20\% Overlap

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.1622653515749286; Valid 3143.0; StDev 0.36875272364508926; Max. 1.0; Min. 0.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:S1uAu72a5muxw35Z/3iyow==

GOP Vote Share (\%) * Competitive District (Cook)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 23.682917358930464; Valid 3106.0; Min. 0.0; Max. 94.11579895019531; Mean 10.194655142978805

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:NKxlpfQawHIApbUmxJx0CA==

Swing District, 30\% Overlap

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 0.3544725517728074; Min. 0.0; Max. 1.0; Valid 3143.0; Mean 0.1473114858415518

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:YwyIGY9lxRuOwpxPkXfdfg==

GOP Vote Share (\%) * Swing District

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Max. 91.90228271484375; StDev 20.006230852976262; Valid 3106.0; Mean 7.828833988997879

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:dts1yOjoz9QATT+LDkHKZw==

Competitive District (Cook Rating), 30\% Overlap

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; StDev 0.3640232919290418; Max. 1.0; Mean 0.15717467387846124; Valid 3143.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:A1iHhTyeNJpQf2isdJTQ2Q==

GOP Vote Share (\%) * Competitive District (Cook)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 23.437485266951658; Valid 3106.0; Min. 0.0; Mean 9.904464660271223; Max. 94.11579895019531;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:Ydd5cqh7OrB20eE+tIzDzQ==

Percentage Change in Total Votes, 18-16

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. -100.0; Max. 110.4575424194336; Mean -11.228280185550993; StDev 13.318659473375453; Valid 3108.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:gCaVPleM+TXgNXP2Zu9fKg==

Percentage Change in Total Votes, 16-14

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 51.795316285727594; Min. -52.838600158691406; StDev 31.171749250113088; Max. 274.84881591796875; Valid 3106.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:ZL2yhbZYtqV4oqu0EOaRag==

$\Delta$ GOP Vote (\%), 18-16

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. -74.5762710571289; Valid 3098.0; StDev 12.48771468458173; Max. 51.26213455200195; Mean -6.393916307884153

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:6FGyC7vzhe5nK8Oeg6pfLw==

$\Delta$ GOP Vote (\%), 16-14

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 3106.0; Mean 3.4545065670419337; Max. 76.4957275390625; Min. -57.68272399902344; StDev 14.759534913169544

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:Idh40Ra/iOTquPgeiqLH8A==

$\Delta$ GOP Vote (\%), 18-16 (Contested Elections)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 51.26213455200195; StDev 11.348512747353384; Valid 2954.0; Min. -73.37226104736328; Mean -6.448054602764394;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:AVbfncn9x6uKJasqnpDxzw==

$\Delta$ GOP Vote (\%), 16-14 (Contested Elections)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 2972.0; StDev 14.29509844911534; Mean 3.468616508057792; Min. -57.68272399902344; Max. 76.4957275390625

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:yXsNqZFU4PhymPMmQk/30w==

Log(Export)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 1.608363283952314; Mean 4.875819016485042; Max. 11.199978828430176; Min. 0.008521031588315964; Valid 3143.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:tUPRFIf+/WIdl/KvVsIvYQ==

Log(Agricultural Exports)

f4143145 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. -5.420286178588867; Valid 3143.0; StDev 1.213027165455677; Max. 7.310298442840576; Mean 2.5536530953073346;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:uhSIg2SyZTTIv7qAdMFNSw==

state

f4143136 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:EhFDjyZSnPzykWqWPnjBBA==

state_fips

f4143136 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:v2dAa/CYLvcgNzAPy2KNxA==

fipscode

f4143136 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:t6a/7xVs1BpySKNQHpyJdw==

f4143136 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:eLov/i/G32NCpZaD04p2yw==

cocd_repvotes_2018

f4143136 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; StDev 20961.446013497043; Max. 186037.0; Valid 3767.0; Mean 12939.481284842095;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:Z2heElEW1nBobtNOlWs5Xw==

cocd_demvotes_2018

f4143136 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 312252.0; Valid 3767.0; Mean 15429.00265463219; StDev 33190.193228727374; Min. 0.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:yrCdywB//DFMg6BoQunlLQ==

cocd_gopshare_2016

f4143136 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 100.0; Mean 66.16255443517333; StDev 24.288258522370683; Valid 3720.0; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:yy4AqlWnQ/nwWueo9szqag==

delta_gopshare1618

f4143136 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 3616.0; StDev 13.088088861653182; Max. 53.18083572387695; Mean -6.266035293253684; Min. -100.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:48MSUVgwBhabCNpP8B+duQ==

district_dem_vote2018

f4143136 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Mean 117880.11311749874; StDev 50928.07373098321; Valid 3766.0; Max. 329800.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:+BHmxQGd6PAt86qYC7ritw==

district_gop_vote2018

f4143136 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 256661.0; StDev 49615.841923800326; Valid 3766.0; Mean 145986.59532660648; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:9RWs3DRNTxl7payCwmRB0g==

emp_chn_target_cum_sept

f4143136 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 100.0; StDev 11.772413690765601; Valid 3767.0; Min. 0.0; Mean 15.6486811841281;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:HfVcQlsmZKVRdCz5zDvlVQ==

emp_us_protect_cum_sept

f4143136 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 15.58032978631661; Min. 0.0; StDev 11.753976688300707; Valid 3767.0; Max. 100.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:OY27TiaQO+Mf9U+iCiMzmA==

state_fips

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 1.0; StDev 15.52321376734248; Valid 709.0; Max. 56.0; Mean 29.713681241184773;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:O/AokwNRifcaKtOJ+mHlKA==

Commuting Zone ID, 2000

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 709.0; StDev 206.65589848698585; Max. 903.0; Min. 1.0; Mean 355.8476727785624

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:JEUXOYYEXRgPitjw0Qjn6A==

Voting Age Pop.

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 2.27431584E8; Valid 710.0; Min. 0.0; Mean 1397688.716901399; StDev 9669461.834031502

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:xHqVSNSl/kZnwMIJyTnUcQ==

\%, Targeted by Tariffs (April)

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 26.316146850585938; Mean 1.1183367377654123; StDev 3.0602417176215124; Min. 0.0; Valid 709.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:D6HGpRiIu4uJY6m5cJOdaA==

\%, Targeted by Tariffs (by September)

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 1.0044820308685303; Valid 709.0; Mean 14.268138574780474; Max. 91.40757751464844; StDev 8.603838074748763;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:c3YgjOZ5WBcwu0Y5eNc8/A==

\%, Targeted by Tariffs (by June)

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Valid 709.0; Max. 91.40757751464844; StDev 5.673354015855823; Mean 3.088787223297806;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:WVMkYhYLw96riXZDGzELBg==

\%, Targeted by Tariffs (by August)

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Mean 5.157944162984405; Max. 91.40757751464844; Valid 709.0; StDev 6.088113307456189

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:NzoN//CpMctcFyt2HuMIag==

\%, Protected by US Tariffs (by June)

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; StDev 3.432492874006778; Max. 27.291818618774414; Valid 709.0; Mean 3.3986470378930105

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:wpf7qASHJYX4o0sqHPUJlQ==

\%, Protected by US Tariffs (by August)

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 4.467522695412327; Valid 709.0; Min. 0.0; Max. 27.291818618774414; StDev 4.0275668136849125;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:D7gAMHjFG2CsetMkv48qpQ==

\%, Protected by US Tariffs (by September)

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 14.256480950983018; Max. 91.40757751464844; StDev 8.700609788592995; Valid 709.0; Min. 0.9833802580833435

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:pDKnPhTcEtRhTluQe77yNg==

$\Delta$ Republican Vote (\%), 18-16

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 692.0; StDev 10.712547410247716; Max. 43.10331726074219; Min. -56.15514373779297; Mean -6.740027342228533

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:PJaTK3WKNO2GcTLpt9+vxA==

$\Delta$ Republican Vote (\%), 16-14

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 62.8068962097168; Min. -39.769405364990234; Valid 694.0; Mean 3.1214464968150843; StDev 12.534135930376678

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:3Po7DJHeKZ44EGOe8nrv3w==

\%, Female

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Mean 0.49823898005653433; StDev 0.03153088716068471; Max. 0.5371755361557007; Valid 710.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:YdJsYyCUPBuUKPqgSQtBsg==

\%, White

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Mean 0.8333347774097615; Max. 0.9858781695365906; StDev 0.16188409022091668; Valid 710.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:WypSexciS/pnhFeK9ntkRA==

\%, Black

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Max. 0.7043774127960205; Valid 710.0; Mean 0.08686935200608431; StDev 0.12367207394290737

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:j41s0fkZSObgR7MWTtbr7A==

\%, Asian

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 0.4220818281173706; Min. 0.0; Mean 0.019500690506702348; StDev 0.03491599752973371; Valid 710.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:8f1uVXEi18LqCpRP8pbsHQ==

\%, Native

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 0.09860757559727136; Max. 0.8636134266853333; Min. 0.0; Mean 0.034936745941940836; Valid 710.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:4PzCPA4zUM8GWcVPdXEMpA==

\%, Hispanic

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.11005451706513555; Max. 0.9540696144104004; Valid 710.0; StDev 0.14439461904676756; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:aewX3onOvyy3rH0RsVZmCQ==

$\Delta$ Weekly Wage, 18-17

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 2.5906165672156205; Min. -37.9952507019043; Valid 710.0; Mean 3.2802851892588; Max. 13.554858207702637

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:2/dsWsG+D27vzW2aD89yrA==

\%, Age Group 1

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 5.385078430175781; StDev 2.010526623816904; Mean 12.465777298151437; Max. 23.160919189453125; Valid 708.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:sfw6dG3wGxpLp6NKpDM1tA==

\%, Age Group 2

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 12.87272287762098; Min. 5.084236145019531; Valid 708.0; Max. 18.916255950927734; StDev 1.478036313271952;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:NVUb3GWtR3yPf0reeHjtaw==

\%, Age Group 3

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 708.0; Max. 31.80298614501953; Min. 7.134768009185791; Mean 13.163394498959773; StDev 2.867028598708242

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:UWIOUd/gOBdUSY1Uvh7ANg==

\%, Age Group 4

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 708.0; StDev 1.4093386976172448; Max. 17.231613159179688; Mean 11.996635707084737; Min. 5.634201526641846

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:7ODgqIw9WSgZbpSQ7hmNew==

\%, Age Group 5

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 1.2343662113425486; Mean 11.520069240850242; Min. 6.625141143798828; Valid 708.0; Max. 23.49578857421875;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:bUpCwWnqan2nVPqX7axc1A==

\%, Age Group 6

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 18.983152389526367; Min. 7.555852890014648; Mean 13.698169589042664; StDev 1.3231378475491362; Valid 708.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:HYJB6t0JLiJcULpOeYCCpA==

\%, Age Group 7

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 708.0; Max. 26.840316772460938; Mean 12.504894659344092; StDev 2.3155184371347417; Min. 5.87626838684082;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:QTdrGf88JXQBDVQDJlhInQ==

\%, Age Group 8

f4143132 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 708.0; Min. 2.778578281402588; Mean 7.290266694658891; StDev 1.8287588413509743; Max. 17.638731002807617;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:JkjvJuZQ7Jb3yZCUjtdJUA==

HS Code (6-Digit)

f4143148 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:5yV3bV+zfZ8J16nTn6AN2A==

Targeted by China (April)

f4143148 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.015418502202643711; StDev 0.1232207148520208; Max. 1.0; Valid 5902.0; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:qADMHiNJ+2kR3q9nSdfeXQ==

Targeted by China (June)

f4143148 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 5902.0; Max. 1.0; Mean 0.06472382243307416; StDev 0.24605874829817648; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:fAd2gmHimUGcsVnnlokXAA==

Targeted by China (August)

f4143148 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; StDev 0.17196805106749494; Max. 1.0; Valid 5902.0; Mean 0.030498136225008344

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:FiSi4HNeSfyl+A3hXhZ+3A==

Targeted by China (September)

f4143148 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.6326668925787791; Valid 5902.0; StDev 0.48211915403084077; Min. 0.0; Max. 1.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:ukDpAlvURl3lchjEJNE1pQ==

Targeted by China (April-August)

f4143148 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.09844120637072756; Max. 1.0; StDev 0.29793552183899125; Valid 5902.0; Min. 0.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:tU0bDGl7tD5lOT8ojmcroQ==

Targeted by Canada

f4143148 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.014232463571670696; Valid 5902.0; StDev 0.11845791699427687; Min. 0.0; Max. 1.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:1bZr4fPDEHAGeIAqQNKuMA==

Targeted by Mexico

f4143148 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 1.0; Valid 5902.0; StDev 0.139988621156744; Min. 0.0; Mean 0.01999322263639469;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:eWdhFpvxwtRFBGNDDFH2rw==

Targeted by the EU

f4143148 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 1.0; Mean 0.014571331751948321; StDev 0.11983923130875011; Min. 0.0; Valid 5902.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:FuwtHVTYybaUPqOtFWRYFQ==

Republican Concentration

f4143148 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 1.6453355783596635E-4; Valid 5260.0; StDev 0.02399620095505011; Mean 0.010533826046408915; Max. 0.2980159819126129

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:3cfH8pN1crIJMhzDH9C9hg==

Canada Imports Volume from the US

f4143148 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 1.6013320192E10; Mean 4.7821549088275954E7; StDev 3.290357633029155E8; Min. 0.0; Valid 5902.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:jsO3CTHAVj29JwmF118nPQ==

China Imports Volume from the US

f4143148 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; StDev 3.185768112324473E8; Mean 2.200838946475808E7; Max. 1.8491594752E10; Valid 5902.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:Qn0L3oMFasj10QHSquP2TQ==

EU Imports Volume from the US

f4143148 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 4.5758148608E10; Mean 4.801444198729325E7; StDev 6.519095813612646E8; Valid 5902.0; Min. 0.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:sCPSqSxxYT+PBxcIBR4MEg==

Mexico Imports Volume from the US

f4143148 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; StDev 2.6361844895954365E8; Valid 5902.0; Mean 3.3429252486614916E7; Max. 1.2833427456E10;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:YWq+t0Kb98a4NaKceBkxrw==

Log(Canada Imports Volume from the US)

f4143148 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 23.496686935424805; Valid 5902.0; Min. 0.0; Mean 12.969627546561183; StDev 5.966259024324567

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:Z0rLQPdEgueerv4VQhJOtQ==

Log(China Imports Volume from the US)

f4143148 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Max. 23.640583038330078; StDev 6.5749457751420035; Mean 9.910658100506883; Valid 5902.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:I0tDKcNZoY6bOK4PyRY/4A==

Log(EU Imports Volume from the US)

f4143148 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 12.164262799479845; StDev 6.022681532763241; Min. 0.0; Valid 5902.0; Max. 24.5466365814209;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:uvrAdwoIUILPkv9REF8xng==

Log(Mexico Imports Volume from the US)

f4143148 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 5.716002844715817; Mean 11.941881877412161; Max. 23.275320053100586; Valid 5902.0; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:QYS1f/81YNxMy7PX90/EMw==

Canada Imports Dependence on the US

f4143148 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 0.3273146120453924; Valid 5188.0; Mean 0.4602753008531149; Max. 1.0; Min. 0.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:FOi6hqaaWZ32WDzRWdErkw==

China Imports Dependence on the US

f4143148 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 1.0; StDev 0.20301999698285855; Valid 4326.0; Mean 0.1367777391105574; Min. 1.1795513010781633E-8

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:pmqMi7GABQ9eYyxGDNPMNg==

EU Imports Dependence on the US

f4143148 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 0.21338876243120747; Mean 0.15237662284543588; Min. 4.4225814122000884E-8; Valid 5117.0; Max. 1.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:Y+yWsNt4LdcZj6I5lhy8zQ==

Mexico Imports Dependence on the US

f4143148 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 5088.0; StDev 0.3410970626804035; Max. 1.0; Mean 0.42773919904120616; Min. 1.2660257198149338E-7

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:4qav/6zXilrT6yJAqAsJBw==

State

f4143138 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:hivnYx339Zrv8mxfvdzJgw==

Tariffs Negative on the US

f4143138 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 0.4919494971660439; Valid 1518.0; Max. 1.0; Mean 0.40974967061923573; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:yfxQclQnAJjtvpbiPRqjPA==

Tariffs Negative on Area

f4143138 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 1518.0; StDev 0.4344788513022522; Mean 0.25230566534914367; Max. 1.0; Min. 0.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:9BDhEn0uNLIb1227Gfvwog==

Tariffs Negative on Family

f4143138 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Mean 0.18906455862977598; Max. 1.0; Valid 1518.0; StDev 0.3916889309613021

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:8IMn+j2FearSrhy4X5BjLQ==

Trump Responsible for Tariff Escalation

f4143138 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 0.46028229590483044; Max. 1.0; Valid 1518.0; Mean 0.6956521739130439; Min. 0.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:aaF06T2Nq/byYJtPnCJXOA==

GOP Responsible for Tariff Escalation

f4143138 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.45783926218708815; Max. 1.0; Valid 1518.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 0.4983834862769126;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:UQlWuHVhHVsH9vSUiKokEg==

Dems Responsible for Tariff Escalation

f4143138 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Mean 0.2154150197628459; Max. 1.0; Valid 1518.0; StDev 0.4112454262578895;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:NofNJdXGpf6twQ584yCu6Q==

County Workers Targeted

f4143138 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 0.53089412689209; Min. 0.00226845473051071; Valid 1518.0; StDev 0.07780592041927886; Mean 0.10050414448022371;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:vnrBT6ih2TkiII9TBBF8Zw==

County Protected by US Tariffs

f4143138 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.00219606950879097; Valid 1518.0; Mean 0.09867124245660343; Max. 0.530558662414551; StDev 0.07730205784262134

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:buzDKBO/PNAt5tqbQvSvUw==

Industry Workers Targeted

f4143138 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 0.8847948664130304; Valid 1518.0; StDev 0.17805354887688551; Mean 0.04068623227595817; Min. 0.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:L2Q0InzmjwNmWM8wJ8EGNg==

Party ID (3-Level)

f4143138 Location:

Value	Label	Frequency
2.	Independent	418
3.	Democrat	557
1.	Republican	432

Summary Statistics: Mean 2.0888415067519546; Min. 1.0; Valid 1407.0; StDev 0.8339757270261764; Max. 3.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:Aa5lKStQ1DuFT3nKFoUqRA==

Democrat

f4143138 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Max. 1.0; Valid 1518.0; StDev 0.4821260694751936; Mean 0.3669301712779972;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:6gA8L6gux2uz0yHqM4bwnw==

Independent

f4143138 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 1518.0; StDev 0.44684387290553645; Min. 0.0; Mean 0.27536231884057955; Max. 1.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:9ggUNCJ64/ghxDZDzSpqhw==

Age

f4143138 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 19.0; Mean 45.28743315508021; StDev 18.17967558870562; Max. 92.0; Valid 1496.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:LBFYgHroZURo3DEPbMpX2g==

Female

f4143138 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 1.0; StDev 0.4962314653893747; Valid 1518.0; Min. 0.0; Mean 0.5625823451910408;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:3RaJvI8VPPjOCO1DGrRvTw==

Race

f4143138 Location:

Value	Label	Frequency
3.	Black	212
5.	Other	44
2.	Hispanic	196
4.	Asian	71
1.	White	995

Summary Statistics: Mean 1.664690382081686; Min. 1.0; Valid 1518.0; Max. 5.0; StDev 1.0636709002788118;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:qNGGoNe6OaEaAhZXnYbe+A==

Education

f4143138 Location:

Value	Label	Frequency
6.	Graduate degree	169
1.	Less than high school	111
2.	High school	441
4.	Associateâ€™s degree	146
3.	Some college	331
5.	BA	320

Summary Statistics: Valid 1518.0; Max. 6.0; Min. 1.0; Mean 3.415019762845849; StDev 1.53417185771221

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:RjRX0MQ1TbRN138+UHVNkQ==

US Native

f4143138 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 1.0; Mean 0.9301712779973648; Valid 1518.0; StDev 0.25494212698806656; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:tdB8NPi2fAn7YKZHNjuHNA==

Employment status

f4143138 Location:

Value	Label	Frequency
1.	Working (paid employee)	627
2.	Working (self-employed)	141
7.	Not working (other)	127
8.	Prefer not to answer	24
4.	Not working (looking for work)	140
3.	Not working (temporary layoff from a job)	17
6.	Not working (disabled)	121
5.	Not working (retired)	321

Summary Statistics: Valid 1518.0; StDev 2.252936780802019; Max. 8.0; Mean 3.24901185770751; Min. 1.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:+SfTyFBWsQPsUShmF2QKkw==

No NAICS Information

f4143138 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 1.0; Mean 0.4374176548089592; Valid 1518.0; StDev 0.4962314653893749; Min. 0.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:ThUXSnKQEA9Fjvog+b4W6g==

state_fips

f4143141 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:Ux2x5sli/BdveGCBzsySFg==

f4143141 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:TzdfVqCs9d7BM0zoshYBdg==

swing_dist1416

f4143141 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; StDev 0.34489085152000537; Valid 436.0; Mean 0.13761467889908255; Max. 1.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:yXGda4uiN4sw6TgxS7inMA==

FIPS

f4143143 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:xJLC2Y2ASYh0RQflap4y/g==

state_fips

f4143143 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:kUXvAJgaLx1/sFp/IKxtBQ==

Web Searches on China (Chinese) Tariffs

f4143143 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 83.5; Mean 13.01526717557252; Valid 262.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 16.807729353493816

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:lsybl/QYxBBjecUwLdm+UQ==

Web Searches on Trade War

f4143143 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 262.0; StDev 17.002930515228854; Min. 0.0; Max. 100.0; Mean 28.893129770992363

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:6p1UN+wuWKvoDBOwtpyxCg==

\% Targeted by Chinese tariffs

f4143143 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 49.99679946899414; StDev 6.065723932081456; Min. 1.4002872705459595; Mean 10.761167626344522; Valid 262.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:VMKRK5Fi8ij8FLDArFt97Q==

\% Bachelor's degree

f4143143 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 4.5200260560494865; Mean 17.51297709923664; Valid 262.0; Min. 9.2; Max. 31.8

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:ppZVhmgRNIFc0QWZhD6+iA==

\% Graduate or professional degree

f4143143 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 3.840374925791393; Min. 3.6; Valid 262.0; Mean 10.308015267175573; Max. 24.4

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:SxlsvxnAGqlgQi4R7OZJsQ==

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