Replication Data for: Predictive Inference with Random Forests: A New Perspective on Classical Analysesdoi:10.7910/DVN/ZLEFIBHarvard Dataverse2019-12-111McAlexander, Richard, 2019, "Replication Data for: Predictive Inference with Random Forests: A New Perspective on Classical Analyses", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/ZLEFIB, Harvard Dataverse, V1, UNF:6:K5wLrMhjKoNX7znhVpU8lg== [fileUNF]Replication Data for: Predictive Inference with Random Forests: A New Perspective on Classical Analysesdoi:10.7910/DVN/ZLEFIBMcAlexander, RichardHarvard DataverseMcAlexander, RichardMcAlexander, Richard2019-12-11Social SciencesThis contains replication data for "Predictive Inference with Random Forests: A New Perspective on Classical Analyses" by Richard J. McAlexander and Lucas Mentch, published in Research & Politics<a href="http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0">CC0 1.0</a>fearonlaitin.tab661069text/tab-separated-valuesUNF:6:K5wLrMhjKoNX7znhVpU8lg==Data from Fearon & Laitin's 2003 Paper.COW country id number0.0248.14318336573118451.0.6610.02.0950.0450.6222390317992UNF:6:Se4PR3swQHXUuFKP7FjiRA==country nameUNF:6:L4NfOrJKmBRbD739w/jSSQ==abbreviated country nameUNF:6:Z1T1BiZUx8vBNSyY7xGo3Q==1 for first in each country series.0.01.00.0243570347957639936610.00.00.00.15416668031613578UNF:6:Agt87dNcykgIXd5g0y0qWA==start year of war/conflictUNF:6:jqBV+VG8SQzOTvd30HnuhQ==# wars in progress in country year0.0.6610.00.41253342884788170.00.04.00.1552193645990881UNF:6:ium44BOPHuG8OBU1ICLUpg==1 if war ongoing in country year6610.00.00.0.0.138880484114984660.01.00.34584792998761676UNF:6:LlsFSv8khLkPnj3F3g+4SA==lagged war, w/ 0 for start of country series.1.00.00.06610.00.00.13464447806354310.34136926104981896UNF:6:ie0AKwao/Nx4OOqD84onJw==1 for civil war onset0.04.00.017246596066565714.0.136994238573719736610.00.00.0UNF:6:YShhtJi8e0mIdwlA34dpcg==1 if onset = 1 & ethwar ~= 00.0118003025718611440.00.116097052965520230.06610.0.4.00.0UNF:6:o37J2pCiXqb9JMKcK/uqyw==estimated war duration52.0.1.06499.06.09.18018018018018410.09518174738298111.0UNF:6:gE23wNFhx1jPtbWjavkBrw==1 = rebels aim at center, 3 = aim at exit or autonomy, 2 = mixed or ambig.3.0.1.01.06500.0110.01.76363636363636370.9079392204455938UNF:6:J4AFQI4PUExuRk5T4kQfsw==Id for case, usually name of rebel group(s)UNF:6:GOfeMnZEchXnd39kCrFPYQ==war ends = 1, 0 = ongoing1.00.419625042252218366499.00.0.1.00.7747747747747747111.0UNF:6:Rcw4HToqT1mXulUG5iATVw==0 = not ethnic, 1 = ambig/mixed, 2 = ethnic.0.01.02.06499.00.89314433195693381.1711711711711714111.0UNF:6:pW/oPb+qP2JEphUPD+8SOA==war years for each onsetUNF:6:QBoD8yhP0ZO4OfTDPJKg8A==population, in 1000s8137.0222.0177.0102560.81736672409.1238599.3756433.031786.918247131503UNF:6:/kOKEj41Hrh89BcHtvsorw==log of pop6433.09.062761903457723177.0.9.004177093505865.4026775360107421.454793271719319514.029491424560547UNF:6:qIm8A4ahJWMTsYYyt4AfKg==revised polity score6547.063.010.0-10.0-3.0-0.41301359401261577.524937777085368.UNF:6:jMs6f2a8RNx+3T82yfsW+w==gdp/pop based on pwt5.6, wdi2001,cow energy data2.02800011634826663.69377028089484270.0480000004172325166.73500061035156227.0.4.4947263021031256383.0UNF:6:JjTb8yoaPqK2CPnP5Y2t0w==source/type of gdp/pop estimate0.00.91446028513238651.3754173928851264.06383.0.0.0227.0UNF:6:M8Ijr1phg+NEhy3GAck2WA==lagged gdpenl, except for first in country series4.5366452307503366373.0.3.6511165844783133237.00.048000000417232511.995000004768371666.73500061035156UNF:6:1uRu7hSaN6BiHsVCoNoRWg==log of lagged gdpen.7.65122400534018251.057370226501776373.0237.03.871201038360595711.1084852218627937.5983991622924805UNF:6:9sl3QV0P/sTS+zI7aCZrzg==log population, lagged except for first in country series14.02949142456054725.06585.01.4575118458877447.9.0488834865544078.9911890029907235.402677536010742UNF:6:cB3Kog4yxouJNaWo780hIQ==country's region, based on MAR project2.4679518987760774.1086232980332626610.0.5.00.00.07.02e. europe and the former soviet union6467latin america and the caribbean12100western democracies and japan11555n. africa and the middle east9106sub-saharan africa15933asia1096UNF:6:BI8mBgDyPLKVeqR7C1cfFA==Dummy for Western Democracies & Japan0.00.0.1.06610.00.17473524962178220.37976922113766520.0UNF:6:bmHpRVZaIPUSsaOo60yNvg==Dummy for Eastern Europe0.06610.00.09773071104387175.0.296972661177296150.00.01.0UNF:6:hSGmqDh2DH9wVJdP/MBPLA==Dummy for Latin America0.00.183055975794260920.06610.01.00.38674166212439437.0.0UNF:6:KmJxN8KkqSCvJ0zrUAOxbA==Dummy for Sub-Saharan Africa0.00.00.4277217477242682.1.00.240998487140691946610.00.0UNF:6:KZw2zd2jChPeHJ4QiA+7OQ==Dummy for Asia (-Japan)0.00.371937572514741356610.0.0.00.165809379727696580.01.0UNF:6:aPlizVksuguLVojIwOAfYQ==Dummy for North Africa/Middle East0.00.13767019667171235.0.01.00.06610.00.34457956492894287UNF:6:iqiekqDJHp1MD5MBRyJ+VQ==Former British colony1.00.00.28683812405446360.0.6610.00.00.452319540458642UNF:6:Oqy80yj3XGQBoWqn1CjuDw==former French colony0.376628644316788160.171104387291984041.0.0.00.06610.00.0UNF:6:QvmIKv5mqvRKY0rs0ZGRmg==Estimated % mountainous terrain18.0883285465673080.094.29999542236328.20.9664780922740950.010.3000001907348636610.0UNF:6:VETKcKmRrcGk7WrCz9xSJg==log of mtnest1.40399115552959944.5570297241210942.4248027801513670.02.17668997618099660.0.6610.0UNF:6:yadJZPMOvYWsB3PWdkJvpQ==high - low elevation, in meters2022.484526906632753.03186.089751457500492.09002.06518.02762.0.UNF:6:yvg+swXW9SOsrcW+H6z2rg==> 1/3 export revenues from fuels0.00.00.129500756429653340.0.1.00.33577874799369316610.0UNF:6:GA0+S5bZtbsA29vYKXmnbA==noncontiguous state6610.00.378598639053359830.01.00.17337367624811120.00.0.UNF:6:p+1JDboBjmV/FkDvQKyFKg==ethnic frac. based on Soviet Atlas, plus est's for missing in 19640.00.925034761428833.6610.00.00100000004749745130.32545453310012820.28533822196316130.38535469394090804UNF:6:3EohkwpGzb/FZDPazVjqKw==ethnic fractionalization based on Fearon 2002 APSA paper0.0019989609718322754.6518.00.268797001955438151.00.492799997329711992.00.4593285342673247UNF:6:gIJPwWF3zOqPOFSFLBzjEQ==share of largest ethnic group (Fearon 2002 APSA)0.65997171134211750.68000000715255746610.00.00.0040000001899898050.99900001287460330.24613072271003425.UNF:6:juw+X3x2O9wErrbq5xvMlw==share of 2nd largest ethnic group (Fearon 2002 APSA)0.00.43999999761581420.06610.0.0.140000000596046450.15389320750191770.11112478186051135UNF:6:o56q6kWjC4v4XMupBa+C6g==# languages in Ethnologue > min(1% pop, 1mill)46.0.6.8484114977305951.06610.04.00.07.214250414025902UNF:6:KVH16d3bmqJHcb7lCRu1NA==religious fractionalization.6610.00.367376836110891670.00.357599973678588870.218689739773446160.00.782800018787384UNF:6:baIRJMa5rYG3RCrm5zKjYw==size of largest confession78.0.6610.0100.072.780786686837930.020.38815857609394725.0UNF:6:Tv49fvdIoh6sbmikSL2qQA==size of second largest confession.0.018.27065052950066412.9433441114191530.06610.050.016.0UNF:6:L5hZkPGTxC9TPmRYPfVRRg==% muslim0.0100.025.592049956419576.0.06610.02.099999904632568437.44492231863487UNF:6:8XeSD/LAUQHvZx5NVB6H4g==1 in 1st 2 years of state's existence6610.0.0.029652042360060050.00.01.00.16963829851245090.0UNF:6:1HjwcAOhBU4vTP1RUtPolA==lagged polity2, except 1st in country series10.07.51482333625497869.0-10.0-3.06541.0-0.479896040360922.UNF:6:3qwegYOqG1ZG2j8wlth2Ew==> 2 change in Polity measure in last 3 yrs6596.014.0.0.00.00.3535859805599380.146452395391146321.0UNF:6:JTw0a+HO6YxiYhF/3IAVsA==lagged anocracy (-6 < polity2l < 6).0.069.01.06541.00.225653569790551840.00.41804396177179914UNF:6:wZPsKwd2PWi8WXqUKAl4VQ==lagged democracy (polity2l > 5)0.06541.01.00.47104264749530345.69.00.332212199969421030.0UNF:6:KKXUIwKE2D7WHKjWWJr7Lw==ethfrac coded for colonial empires0.289046683204143950.00.393774033795390550.95522207021713266610.00.0010000000474974513.0.3475368022918701UNF:6:OOVFL0HJtK5+jWHAtF76Sg==warl coded for data with empires.0.34882498284765880.141754916792741130.01.06610.00.00.0UNF:6:ozACY+HVzgjwr+BPvSMDkA==onset coded for data with empires0.143745326542373040.00.00.0192133131618760470.06610.0.4.0UNF:6:stGANHB2+I4UFj+eV9m9tQ==gdpenl coded for empires data237.01.9400000572204594.53721828373276166.735000610351560.048000000417232513.620222814609654.6373.0UNF:6:TQmyyTLurs2o4V9UfYE/iQ==lpopl coded for empires data8.9911890029907239.0659021305875015.4026775360107421.473490685708921414.02949142456054725.0.6585.0UNF:6:WgsRL1erASEmmqSad9Meew==lmtnest coded for empires data.2.4248027801513670.02.1937528890015060.06610.04.5570297241210941.395325925215349UNF:6:eunB187Z7P97SBPN3ys9PQ==ncontig coded for empires1.06610.00.00.380802630140593230.17594553706505640.0.0.0UNF:6:u0BlM99/uqGaLmk1MW48Xg==polity2l adjusted for empires (see fn38 in paper)234.0-4.06376.0-0.6786442466331486-10.0.7.46250810816788910.0UNF:6:LXImKL64U8u9eokPtGX2CA==# Sambanis/Doyle civ wars in progress0.373616423663435170.00.06610.03.0.0.135552193645989720.0UNF:6:o3C1O9nNqRqK0bxUs023QQ==onset of Sambanis/Doyle war0.13789691335549360.00.018759455370650932.00.06610.00.0.UNF:6:M0KgpH4dSB+0bcvVOY0pYg==# Collier/Hoeffler wars in progress1174.02.00.10356880058866966.0.00.31365453231668135436.00.0UNF:6:BYHbkk0GWSfxf24w+IEUFQ==onset of Collier/Hoeffler war0.117422059342755720.05436.01.00.00.01398086828550405.1174.0UNF:6:xnG/1ESsHHvI8hY9Lii/jQ==# COW civ wars in progress0.01092.0.3.05518.00.087712939470822360.00.31039828860746693UNF:6:MN8/kbEqau9PYanj4sTaZg==onset of COW civ war1092.00.130136070412806140.00.00.016853932584269572.2.05518.0UNF:6:3x966oOL4tOYXUheIzfGmg==1 if COW war ongoing in last period1.00.268867475160825260.078427916813534210.0.5674.0936.00.0UNF:6:AIsqKPD7ObM9tZjylyYn7g==1 if S/D war ongoing in last period6610.00.32984108292953035.0.00.00.124205748865353751.00.0UNF:6:r9y1+KV+26u7Y4WQuVEWPw==1 if C/H war ongoing in last period0.29765815378507140.00.0.0.098233995584987651174.01.05436.0UNF:6:oTCTbxKEm7wo9yiDe77xlg==mcalexander_mentch_rf_replication.RMain scripttype/x-r-syntax