Winning the Game of Thrones: Leadership Succession in Modern Autocraciesdoi:10.7910/DVN/YSCYIHHarvard Dataverse2022-08-091Meng, Anne, 2022, "Winning the Game of Thrones: Leadership Succession in Modern Autocracies", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/YSCYIH, Harvard Dataverse, V1, UNF:6:qsT7jEHmB98IJaDrOpBnwg== [fileUNF]Winning the Game of Thrones: Leadership Succession in Modern Autocraciesdoi:10.7910/DVN/YSCYIHMeng, AnneHarvard DataverseMeng, AnneMeng, Anne2020-12-17Social SciencesUnder what conditions can dictatorships manage peaceful leadership transitions?
This article argues that constitutional succession rules are critical for modern dictatorships, contrary to the predominant scholarly focus on hereditary succession or
parties. An effective succession rule needs to solve dual problems of peaceful exit
and peaceful entry. First, the rule must enable incumbents to exit power peacefully
by reducing coup threats. Second, the rule must empower the designated successor
to ensure that they can enter power peacefully. Constitutional rules help solve both
problems, and are particularly effective when they appoint the vice president as the
designated successor. The vice president’s access to material resources deters other
factions from challenging the succession procedure, whereas designating successors
without a power base is ineffective. Using original data on constitutional rules in
African autocracies, I show that regimes that formally designate the vice president as
the successor are more likely to undergo peaceful transitions.<a href="http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0">CC0 1.0</a>Meng, Anne. 2020. "Winning the Game of Thrones: Leadership Succession in Modern Autocracies." Journal of Conflict Resolution.Meng, Anne. 2020. "Winning the Game of Thrones: Leadership Succession in Modern Autocracies." 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