Replication Data for: As We Like It: Did the UK’s 2016 EU Referendum Reveal the “Will of the People?”doi:10.7910/DVN/Y06T2YHarvard Dataverse2023-06-051Ahlstrom-Vij, Kristoffer, 2023, "Replication Data for: As We Like It: Did the UK’s 2016 EU Referendum Reveal the “Will of the People?”", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/Y06T2Y, Harvard Dataverse, V1, UNF:6:bWI/fW9yge250ReFka312w== [fileUNF]Replication Data for: As We Like It: Did the UK’s 2016 EU Referendum Reveal the “Will of the People?”doi:10.7910/DVN/Y06T2YAhlstrom-Vij, KristofferHarvard DataverseAhlstrom-Vij, KristofferAllen, WilliamAhlstrom-Vij, Kristoffer2023-04-28Social SciencesSince the UK’s 2016 referendum on EU membership, politicians on both sides of the debate have invoked the “will of the people” either to claim the matter is settled or to justify further confirmatory action. Building on prior information effects research in political science, we argue that the extent to which voters are informed about politically relevant issues is a key factor in evaluating whether any particular result accurately reflects an electorate’s collective “will.” By applying counterfactual modeling to British Election Study data collected after the referendum (N=2,067), we estimate that support for leaving the EU would have dropped by up to 10 percentage points, had voters been more fully informed. More generally, we suggest that such modeling exercises—accompanied by transparent theoretical assumptions to enable stress-testing under different conditions—provide diagnostic tools for assessing the sensitivity of electoral outcomes to varying levels of information, and therefore offer relevant insight as to whether they truly capture the “will of the people.”In addition to the data files available here, in order to replicate the analysis, one needs to register for British Election Study data access, download the original SAV file from www.britishelectionstudy.com/data-object/2017-face-to-face/, and add this one to the /data folder, along with the other data files.<a href="http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0">CC0 1.0</a>bes_preprocessed.tab206717text/tab-separated-valuesUNF:6:bWI/fW9yge250ReFka312w==Output of 01_preprocessing.R. Script outputs CSV.genderUNF:6:3AQxxI72Ro1VVaq/t5M3MQ==ageUNF:6:s8hnIAF469hVP/xqvY7ZJw==ethnic_groupUNF:6:opOVkmeikXBrk1TaAFk9og==social_classUNF:6:mzMpAJySuVpU43jAt9CIKw==religionUNF:6:i/fFvW+e+OcbdFnwLZPqvQ==marital_statusUNF:6:mz0SpgX/RkHVJuNWjXunAQ==income2067.015.07.0.7.6608611514271910.03.86493054600414031.0UNF:6:pHeO08paFjCcHzZdlNQsdQ==educationUNF:6:TbugsFNndbrKDVaCItNEXA==party_idUNF:6:caXuHns/6j4pLL+0ifN+xw==eu_voteUNF:6:yxl3luj6AQWRhSg+YWCZmw==x01_12067.00.00.32838277114624611.00.0.0.87711659409772621.0UNF:6:QSpyonF5wu+u8/7mAR4rwg==x01_20.50003196303249530.50943396226415080.02067.00.01.01.0.UNF:6:fct85folPsz9ri9NetxadQ==x01_30.88243831640058020.01.0.0.01.02067.00.3221663352567569UNF:6:nhAHa8mI2uypxSRT6pjpsg==x01_40.50011391019177730.02067.00.497339138848572060.0.0.01.0UNF:6:my5TZlo2A9Tf61u/9T7TDg==x01_51.01.00.00.6361877116594096.2067.00.48121194568891690.0UNF:6:5213eLukhwvLIMwxQ5RtfQ==x01_62067.00.01.00.70198355104015450.4574974369982773.1.00.0UNF:6:Np5K0GJ9p+xbqWhfLduQgg==wt_vote5.7982192100431371.00.8938752279338705.0.57416138494995310.02067.00.2765692330942338UNF:6:jCNOmN/3dKxt9gESHp+swQ==01_preprocessing-1.RPreprocesses BES data and imputes missing valuestype/x-r-syntax02_scales.RConstructs knowledge scalestype/x-r-syntax03_prop_scores.RCalculates propensity scorestype/x-r-syntax04_models.RFits models and generates plotstype/x-r-syntaxbes_preprocessed_scales_prop.rdsOutput of 03_prop_scores.Rapplication/gzipbes_preprocessed_scales.rdsOutput of 02_scales.Rapplication/gzip