10.7910/DVN/MVVXPF Wiget, Milena Milena Wiget https://orcid.org/0009-0004-3380-5363 Eawag: Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology, University of Bern Lienert, Judit Judit Lienert https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1925-3895 Eawag: Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology Ingold, Karin Karin Ingold https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8166-1780 University of Bern; Eawag: Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology Harvard Dataverse 2025 Social Sciences Advocacy Coalition Framework (ACF) Multi-attribute Utility Theory (MAUT) Policy Beliefs Wiget, Milena Milena Wiget 2025-04-25 2025-05-08 4951 38728 34595 3904 text/tab-separated-values text/tab-separated-values type/x-r-syntax text/plain 1.0 Creative Commons CC0 1.0 Universal Public Domain Dedication. Anticipating policy instrument preferences can be an important step in policy design to address pressing sustainability problems. But studying preferences for policy instruments is a difficult task because sustainability problems involve a non-negligible degree of trade-offs and uncertainty. We therefore study the role of actors' underlying ideologies (policy core beliefs) and risk attitudes in forming their preferences for different instruments. Combining the advocacy coalition framework with multi-attribute utility theory, both ideologies and attitudes toward uncertain policy consequences can influence instrument preferences. So far, policy studies literature has paid little attention to trade-offs between policy core beliefs or risk attitudes. Using Bayesian regression models on data from actors in Swiss pesticide risk reduction policy, we found that attitudes toward trade-offs and risk are indeed relevant to explain preferences for different regulatory and market-based instruments addressing agricultural pesticide use. Therefore, when designing policies for sustainability problems, considering the relative importance of policy core beliefs for different actors can help to find effective and broadly supported solutions. In addition, risk attitudes should be considered when policy design involves more coercive and stimulative policy instruments.