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Mebane"},"authorAffiliation":{"typeName":"authorAffiliation","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Cornell University"}},{"authorName":{"typeName":"authorName","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Jasjeet S. Sekhon"},"authorAffiliation":{"typeName":"authorAffiliation","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"University of California, Berkeley"}}]},{"typeName":"datasetContact","multiple":true,"typeClass":"compound","value":[{"datasetContactEmail":{"typeName":"datasetContactEmail","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"sekhon@berkeley.edu"}}]},{"typeName":"dsDescription","multiple":true,"typeClass":"compound","value":[{"dsDescriptionValue":{"typeName":"dsDescriptionValue","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"We develop a robust estimator—the hyperbolic tangent (tanh) estimator—for over dispersed multinomial regression models of count data. The tanh estimator provides accurate estimates and reliable inferences even when the specified model is not good for as much as half of the data. Seriously ill-fitted counts—outliers—are identified as part of the estimation. A Monte Carlo sampling experiment shows that the tanh estimator produces good results at practical sample sizes even when ten percent of the data are generated by a significantly different process. The experiment shows that, with contaminated data, estimation fails using four other estimators: the non-robust maximum likelihood estimator, the additive logistic model and two SUR models. Using the tanh estimator to analyze data from Florida for the 2000 presidential election matches well-known features of the election that the other four estimators fail to capture. In an analysis of data from the 1993 Polish parliamentary election, the tanh estimator gives sharper inferences than does a previously proposed hetero-skedastic SUR model."}}]},{"typeName":"publication","multiple":true,"typeClass":"compound","value":[{"publicationCitation":{"typeName":"publicationCitation","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Walter R. Mebane,  Jasjeet S. Sekhon. 2004. \"Robust Estimation and Outlier Detection for Overdispersed Multinomial Models of Count Data.\" American Journal of Political Science, 48 (April): 391-410. <a href=\"http://elections.berkeley.edu/election2000/MebaneSekhon.multinom.pdf\" target= \"_new\">article available here</a>"}},{"publicationCitation":{"typeName":"publicationCitation","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Walter R. Mebane,  Jasjeet S. Sekhon. 2004. \"Robust Estimation and Outlier Detection for Overdispersed Multinomial Models of Count Data.\" American Journal of Political Science, 48 (April): 391-410. <a href=\"http://elections.berkeley.edu/election2000/MebaneSekhon.multinom.pdf\" target= \"_new\">article available here</a>"}},{"publicationCitation":{"typeName":"publicationCitation","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"<h2>Working Papers:</h2>\r \r  Jasjeet S. Sekhon,\"<a href=\"http://sekhon.berkeley.edu/papers/SekhonOpticalMatch.pdf\" target= \"_new\">The 2004 Florida Optical Voting Machine Controversy: A Causal Analysis Using\r Matching.</a>\" <br /><br />\r \r Jonathan N. Wand. \"<a href=\"http://wand.stanford.edu/elections/us/FL2004/WandFlorida2004.pdf\" target= \"_new\">Evaluating the Impact of Voting Technology on the Tabulation of Voter Preferences: The 2004 Presidential election in Florida.</a>\"<br /><br />\r \r \r <h2>Publications:</h2>\r \r \"<a href=\"http://sekhon.berkeley.edu/papers/SekhonExit.pdf\" target= \"_new\">Data Troubles: Explaining Discrepancies between Official Votes and Exit Polls in the\r 2004 Presidential Election</a>.\" Forthcoming in 'Chance'.\r \r <br /><br />\r \r Michael C. Herron, Jasjeet S. Sekhon. 2004.  \"<a href=\"http://sekhon.berkeley.edu/papers/BlackCandidates_HerronSekhon.pdf\" target= \"_new\">Black Candidates and Black Voters: Assessing the Impact of Candidate Race on Uncounted Vote Rates.</a>\" Journal of Politics, 66:4.  <a href=\"http://sekhon.berkeley.edu/papers/BlackCandidatesSupplemental_HerronSekhon.pdf\" target= \"_new\">supplementary material for this article available here</a>\r \r <br /><br />\r \r Mebane, Walter R., Jr. 2004. \"<a href=\"http://macht.arts.cornell.edu/wrm1/overvotes.pdf\" target= \"_new\">The Wrong Man is President! Overvotes in the 2000 Presidential Election in Florida</a>.\" Perspectives on Politics.\r \r <br /><br />\r \r Herron, Michael C. and Jasjeet S. Sekhon. 2003. \"<a href=\"http://elections.berkeley.edu/election2000/HerronSekhon.pdf\" target= \"_new\">Overvoting and Representation: An examination of overvoted presidential ballots in Broward and Miami-Dade counties</a>.\" Electoral Studies 22: 21-47. \r \r <br /><br />\r \r Wand, Jonathan N. A.,  Kenneth W. Shotts, Jasjeet S. Sekhon, Walter R. Mebane, Jr., Michael C. Herron and Henry E. Brady. \"<a href=\"http://elections.berkeley.edu/election2000/butterfly.pdf\" target= \"_new\">The Butterfly Did It: The Aberrant Vote for Buchanan in Palm Beach County, Florida.</a>\" American Political Science Review, 95 (4): 793-810. 2001. <a href=\"http://dvn.iq.harvard.edu/dvn/dv/jsekhon/faces/study/StudyPage.jsp?studyId=786\" target= \"_new\">study available here </a>\r \r <br /><br />\r \r Jonathan N. A Wand, Jasjeet S. Sekhon, Walter R. Mebane, Jr. 2001.  \"<a href=\"http://elections.berkeley.edu/canada/multinom.canada.pdf\">A Comparative Analysis of Multinomial Voting Irregularities: Canada 2000.</a>\" Proceedings of the American Statistical Society. \r \r <br /><br />\r \r <h2>Obsolete, Deprecated and Out-of-Date Work Which May Be of Interest:</h2>\r \r \"<a href=\"http://elections.berkeley.edu/pc01/\" target= \"_new\">Evidence of Excessive Buchanan Vote Share in Palm Beach County, Florida</a>,\" by Jonathan N. Wand, Kenneth W. Shotts, Jasjeet S. Sekhon, Walter R. Mebane, Jr., Michael C. Herron and Henry E. Brady.  Paper Presented at the 2001 Annual Meeting of the Public Choice Society, San Antonio, Texas, March 9-11.\r \r <br /><br />\r \r \"<a href=\"http://elections.berkeley.edu/wssmh.old/\" target= \"_new\">Voting Irregularities\r in Palm Beach County</a>,\" by Jonathan N. Wand, Kenneth W. Shotts, Jasjeet S. Sekhon, Walter R. Mebane, Jr. and Michael C. Herron. \r \r <br /><br />\r \r \"<a href=\"http://ucdata.berkeley.edu/\" target= \"_new\">What Happened in Palm Beach?</a>\" by Henry Brady."}}]},{"typeName":"productionDate","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"2004"},{"typeName":"distributor","multiple":true,"typeClass":"compound","value":[{"distributorName":{"typeName":"distributorName","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Jasjeet Sekhon"},"distributorURL":{"typeName":"distributorURL","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"http://sekhon.berkeley.edu/"},"distributorLogoURL":{"typeName":"distributorLogoURL","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"http://www.berkeley.edu/images/home/berkeley_lg.gif"}}]},{"typeName":"distributionDate","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"2007"},{"typeName":"dateOfDeposit","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"2007-07"},{"typeName":"timePeriodCovered","multiple":true,"typeClass":"compound","value":[{"timePeriodCoveredStart":{"typeName":"timePeriodCoveredStart","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"1993"},"timePeriodCoveredEnd":{"typeName":"timePeriodCoveredEnd","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"2000"}}]},{"typeName":"relatedMaterial","multiple":true,"typeClass":"primitive","value":["<h2> Robust Estimation Software</h2>\r \r <a href=\"http://sekhon.berkeley.edu/robust/\" target= \"_new\">software and replication archive available here</a>"]}]}},"files":[{"description":"Runs that use the results from FLfull1.R to try to find a better solution","label":"FLfull1.a.R","restricted":false,"version":1,"datasetVersionId":42845,"categories":["3. 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