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Mebane"},"authorAffiliation":{"typeName":"authorAffiliation","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Cornell University"}},{"authorName":{"typeName":"authorName","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Jasjeet Sekhon"},"authorAffiliation":{"typeName":"authorAffiliation","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"University of California, Berkeley"}},{"authorName":{"typeName":"authorName","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Michael Herron"},"authorAffiliation":{"typeName":"authorAffiliation","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Northwestern University"}},{"authorName":{"typeName":"authorName","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Henry E. Brady"},"authorAffiliation":{"typeName":"authorAffiliation","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"University of California, Berkeley"}}]},{"typeName":"datasetContact","multiple":true,"typeClass":"compound","value":[{"datasetContactEmail":{"typeName":"datasetContactEmail","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"sekhon@berkeley.edu"}}]},{"typeName":"dsDescription","multiple":true,"typeClass":"compound","value":[{"dsDescriptionValue":{"typeName":"dsDescriptionValue","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"We show that the butterfly ballot used in Palm Beach County, Florida, in the 2000 presidential election caused more than 2,000 Democratic voters to vote by mistake for Reform candidate Pat Buchanan, a number larger than George W. Bush’s certified margin of victory in Florida. We use multiple methods and several kinds of data to rule out alternative explanations for the votes Buchanan received in Palm Beach County. Among 3,053 U.S. counties where Buchanan was on the ballot, Palm Beach County has the most anomalous excess of votes for him. In Palm Beach County, Buchanan’s\r\nproportion of the vote on election-day ballots is four times larger than his proportion on absentee (nonbutterfly) ballots, but Buchanan’s proportion does not differ significantly between election-day and absentee ballots in any other Florida county. Unlike other Reform candidates in Palm Beach County, Buchanan tended to receive election-day votes in Democratic precincts and from individuals who voted for the Democratic U.S. Senate candidate. Robust estimation of overdispersed binomial regress\r\nion models underpins much of the analysis."}}]},{"typeName":"subject","multiple":true,"typeClass":"controlledVocabulary","value":["Social Sciences"]},{"typeName":"publication","multiple":true,"typeClass":"compound","value":[{"publicationCitation":{"typeName":"publicationCitation","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Wand, J., Shotts, K., Sekhon, J., Mebane, W., Herron, M., & Brady, H. (2001). The Butterfly Did It: The Aberrant Vote for Buchanan in Palm Beach County, Florida. American Political Science Review, 95(4), 793-810."},"publicationIDType":{"typeName":"publicationIDType","multiple":false,"typeClass":"controlledVocabulary","value":"url"},"publicationIDNumber":{"typeName":"publicationIDNumber","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"http://www.jstor.org/stable/23357708"},"publicationURL":{"typeName":"publicationURL","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"http://www.jstor.org/stable/23357708"}},{"publicationCitation":{"typeName":"publicationCitation","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Working Papers:
\r\n \r\n Jasjeet S. Sekhon. \"The 2004 Florida Optical Voting Machine Controversy: A Causal Analysis Using\r\n Matching.\"
\r\n \r\n Jonathan N. Wand. \"Evaluating the Impact of Voting Technology on the Tabulation of Voter Preferences: The 2004 Presidential election in Florida.\"
\r\n \r\n \r\n Publications:
\r\n \r\n \"Data Troubles: Explaining Discrepancies between Official Votes and Exit Polls in the\r\n 2004 Presidential Election\". Forthcoming in 'Chance'.\r\n \r\n
\r\n \r\n Walter R. Mebane, Jr., Jasjeet S. Sekhon. \"Robust\r\n Estimation and Outlier Detection for Overdispersed Multinomial Models of Count Data.\" American Journal of Political Science, 48: 391-410. 2004. study available here\r\n \r\n
\r\n \r\n Herron, Michael C. and Jasjeet S. Sekhon. 2004. \"Black Candidates and Black Voters: Assessing the Impact of Candidate Race on Uncounted Vote Rates.\" Journal of Politics, 66:4. supplementary material for this article available here\r\n \r\n
\r\n \r\n Walter R. Mebane, Jr. 2004. \"The Wrong Man is President! Overvotes in the 2000 Presidential Election in Florida.\" Perspectives on Politics.\r\n \r\n
\r\n \r\n Michael C. Herron, Jasjeet S. Sekhon. 2003. \"Overvoting and Representation: An examination of overvoted presidential ballots in Broward and Miami-Dade counties.\" Electoral Studies 22: 21-47. \r\n \r\n
\r\n \r\n Jonathan N. A. Wand, Jasjeet S. Sekhon, Walter R. Mebane, Jr. 2001. \"A Comparative Analysis of Multinomial Voting Irregularities: Canada 2000.\" Proceedings of the American Statistical Society.\r\n \r\n
\r\n \r\n Obsolete, Deprecated and Out-of-Date Work Which May Be of Interest:
\r\n \r\n \"Evidence of Excessive Buchanan Vote Share in Palm Beach County, Florida,\" by Jonathan N. Wand, Kenneth W. Shotts, Jasjeet S. Sekhon, Walter R. Mebane, Jr., Michael C. Herron and Henry E. Brady. Paper Presented at the 2001 Annual Meeting of the Public Choice Society, San Antonio, Texas, March 9-11.\r\n \r\n
\r\n \r\n \"Voting Irregularities\r\n in Palm Beach County,\" by Jonathan N. Wand, Kenneth W. Shotts, Jasjeet S. Sekhon, Walter R. Mebane, Jr. and Michael C. Herron.\r\n \r\n
\r\n \r\n \"What Happened in Palm Beach?\" by Henry Brady.\r\n \r\n
"}}]},{"typeName":"producer","multiple":true,"typeClass":"compound","value":[{"producerName":{"typeName":"producerName","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"American Political Science Review"},"producerAffiliation":{"typeName":"producerAffiliation","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Cambridge University Press"},"producerURL":{"typeName":"producerURL","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/american-political-science-review/article/butterfly-did-it-the-aberrant-vote-for-buchanan-in-palm-beach-county-florida/90253BB8ADFD43F862FCBFA4F0BF00A3"}}]},{"typeName":"productionDate","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"2001"},{"typeName":"distributor","multiple":true,"typeClass":"compound","value":[{"distributorName":{"typeName":"distributorName","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Harvard Dataverse"},"distributorURL":{"typeName":"distributorURL","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"https://dataverse.harvard.edu"},"distributorLogoURL":{"typeName":"distributorLogoURL","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"https://dataverse.org/files/dataverseorg/files/dataverse_r_project.png"}}]},{"typeName":"distributionDate","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"2007"},{"typeName":"dateOfDeposit","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"2007-07-05"},{"typeName":"timePeriodCovered","multiple":true,"typeClass":"compound","value":[{"timePeriodCoveredStart":{"typeName":"timePeriodCoveredStart","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"2000"}}]},{"typeName":"relatedMaterial","multiple":true,"typeClass":"primitive","value":["Diebold Electronic Voting Systems Controversy:
\r\n \r\n Background Information\r\n \r\n
\r\n \r\n Click Here for relevant Slashdot stories\r\n \r\n
\r\n \r\n Documents Prepared for the Palm Beach County Court:
\r\n \r\n \"\r\nReport on\r\n Voting and Ballot Form in Palm Beach County,\" by Henry Brady\r\n \r\n
\r\n \r\n \"Report on\r\n Overvote Consequences of the Ballot Form in Palm Beach County,\" by\r\n Walter R. Mebane, Jr."]}]},"journal":{"displayName":"Journal Metadata","name":"journal","fields":[{"typeName":"journalVolumeIssue","multiple":true,"typeClass":"compound","value":[{"journalVolume":{"typeName":"journalVolume","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"95"},"journalIssue":{"typeName":"journalIssue","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"4"},"journalPubDate":{"typeName":"journalPubDate","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"2001-12"}}]}]}},"files":[{"description":"2000 presidential votes by precinct in PBC data","label":"2000pres.parsed.tab","restricted":false,"version":2,"datasetVersionId":136984,"categories":["2. 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