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Hypotheses on the political and military conditions under which extended-immediate deterrence is likely to succeed or fail are formulated and tested by probit analysis on fifty-eight historical cases. The empirical results indicate that (1) the military capability of the defender to deny the potential attacker a quick and decisive victory on the battlefield enhances deterrence; (2) a policy of reciprocity in diplomacy and military actions by the defender contributes strongly to deterrence success; and (3) a past record of backing down under pressure or intransigence in confrontations with the potential attacker increases the likelihood of deterrence failure."}}]},{"typeName":"publication","multiple":true,"typeClass":"compound","value":[{"publicationCitation":{"typeName":"publicationCitation","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Huth, Paul. \"Extended Deterrence and the Outbreak of War\"  The American Political Science Review, Vol. 82, No. 2 (Jun., 1988), pp. 423-443 doi:10.2307/1957394. <a href=\"http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0003-0554(198912)83%3A4%3C1448%3AEDATPO%3E2.0.CO%3B2-9\r \" target= \"_new\"> article available here </a>"}}]},{"typeName":"notesText","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Subject: STANDARD DEPOSIT TERMS 1.0  Type: DATAPASS:TERMS:STANDARD:1.0  Notes: This study was deposited under the of the Data-PASS standard deposit terms. A copy of the usage agreement is included in the file section of this study.;"},{"typeName":"productionDate","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"1988"},{"typeName":"distributor","multiple":true,"typeClass":"compound","value":[{"distributorName":{"typeName":"distributorName","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Puth Huth"},"distributorURL":{"typeName":"distributorURL","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"http://polisci.lsa.umich.edu/faculty/phuth.html"},"distributorLogoURL":{"typeName":"distributorLogoURL","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"http://polisci.lsa.umich.edu/graphics/seal120_1.gif"}},{"distributorName":{"typeName":"distributorName","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Murray Research Archive"},"distributorURL":{"typeName":"distributorURL","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"http://www.murray.harvard.edu"},"distributorLogoURL":{"typeName":"distributorLogoURL","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"http://murray.harvard.edu/files/murray/banner146x48.png"}}]},{"typeName":"distributionDate","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"2007"},{"typeName":"dateOfDeposit","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"2007"}]}},"files":[{"description":"Stata file for this study","label":"Ext_det.tab","restricted":false,"version":1,"datasetVersionId":68382,"categories":["1. 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